NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	72		Excitement	4.7 [893]		MVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): +13.6%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	1.1 [974]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -23.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Dorell Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.04	-0.02	12	53%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	18	40%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	8	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.06	0.02	15	31%	-0.13	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	11	63%	0.16	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.03	15	58%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	12	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	0.05	14	57%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	13	35%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	29.0	15.8	24.6	1.8	25.2	120.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +38.7%

TOR +1.8%

TOR +0.4%

TOR +9.3%

PHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	16.8	16.0	15.4	81.8	102.3	104.1
season	15.5	16.1		100.5	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		105.8	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.3	15.6	18.9	16.6	16.8
TOR	13.2	15.7	16.2	19.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	24	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-15	12	15.8	17.1	-1.29	17.0	15.6	1.47
Royal Ivey	24	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-12	6	15.3	17.3	-1.98	13.9	16.7	-2.86
Thaddeus Young	67	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-8	-2	17.0	15.9	1.14	16.8	13.3	3.52
Lavoy Allen	37	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-10	2	17.4	16.3	1.09	15.9	16.0	-0.06
Evan Turner	74	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-8	-2	16.9	16.1	0.83	16.2	14.7	1.55
Damien Wilkins	34	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-10	2	16.2	17.1	-0.88	14.3	17.1	-2.79
Jrue Holiday	70	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	-2	-14	17.0	15.8	1.25	16.7	12.9	3.81
Dorell Wright	58	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-4	-10	17.4	15.6	1.83	15.4	17.0	-1.61
Spencer Hawes	52	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	-3	-12	16.2	17.6	-1.42	15.7	16.3	-0.64

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	74	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-3	24	15.4	18.9	-3.45	17.1	15.2	1.85
DeMar DeRozan	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	-3	24	15.8	16.6	-0.78	16.9	16.1	0.75
Ed Davis	61	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	3	12	17.0	13.7	3.25	17.1	15.9	1.25
Jose Calderon	55	55	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-2	22	15.9	16.0	-0.02	17.7	15.2	2.59
Landry Fields	76	76	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.10	18	0	18	16.4	13.4	2.94	17.2	14.2	2.92
Alan Anderson	49	48	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	19	-20	16.0	15.9	0.01	15.7	18.0	-2.30
Kyle Lowry	33	33	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	20	-22	16.0	15.9	0.02	15.2	17.7	-2.59
Mickael Pietrus	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	13.5	16.5	-3.08	14.8	17.2	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	95.1%
VAN 93, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 93, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%