NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	81		Excitement	5.9 [621]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +6.6%
Dallas Mavericks	92		Comeback	1.1 [569]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -18.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Steven Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	11	50%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	10	41%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	12	45%	-0.03	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	10	42%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.09
Scottie Pippen	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	6	28%	-0.11	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.05

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	15	58%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	16	71%	0.14	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	52%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	29.0	15.8	27.0	2.7	31.5	132.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +48.3%

DAL +15.1%

POR -41.4%

DAL +23.0%

DAL +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.2	94.2	104.5	101.7
season	15.9	14.8		105.9	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.7		104.6	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.4	15.6	17.9	18.4	17.3
DAL	13.3	17.1	16.4	16.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-11	11	17.5	17.2	0.25	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Greg Anthony	44	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-9	7	16.5	18.1	-1.60	15.4	16.2	-0.81
Steven Smith	53	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-6	1	17.4	17.2	0.15	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Brian Grant	56	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-10	9	17.8	16.3	1.54	16.3	15.0	1.36
Bonzi Wells	40	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-8	5	16.5	18.0	-1.50	16.2	15.5	0.76
Scottie Pippen	55	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	2	-15	16.9	18.0	-1.04	15.2	16.9	-1.70
Damon Stoudamire	46	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	1	-13	17.7	16.9	0.75	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Stacey Augmon	43	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-6	1	17.1	17.5	-0.47	16.4	15.2	1.23
Rasheed Wallace	68	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	3	-17	17.9	14.9	3.05	15.8	15.9	-0.15

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	80	79	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.13	18	-7	25	15.3	21.0	-5.70	17.9	11.0	6.86
Dirk Nowitzki	79	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	1	9	15.8	15.9	-0.08	17.6	14.4	3.23
Shawn Bradley	50	48	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	3	5	16.6	14.8	1.72	19.3	14.8	4.46
Steve Nash	51	50	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	0	11	14.7	17.4	-2.74	17.8	16.6	1.24
Erick Strickland	59	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	1	9	16.5	14.4	2.15	17.0	17.9	-0.92
Hubert Davis	44	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	10	-9	15.2	16.4	-1.18	16.3	18.4	-2.11
Sean Rooks	33	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	11	-11	15.4	16.1	-0.73	15.1	18.8	-3.71
Greg Buckner	23	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	15	-19	17.7	15.1	2.60	13.9	18.4	-4.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 72, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
LAC 78, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
SEA 83, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	94.4%