NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	83		Excitement	5.3 [739]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): +15.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	1.2 [950]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -21.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	17	53%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	46%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Brent Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.07	0.04	16	53%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	15	37%	-0.15	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	16	75%	0.22	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	15	69%	0.18	4	-0.11	9	100%	0.05
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.04	11	25%	-0.14	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.2	27.1	15.5	26.5	2.4	32.3	127.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +43.0%

MIN +6.2%

MIN +9.2%

SEA -10.3%

MIN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	17.2	15.9	15.7	96.5	102.3	100.5
season	15.6	15.6		105.0	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.7		98.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.1	17.5	17.7	15.8	17.2
MIN	17.0	16.8	15.0	14.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ansu Sesay	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-7	7	30.0	16.9	13.07	17.0	15.9	1.14
Vladimir Radmanovic	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-8	9	15.3	17.6	-2.30	19.7	15.1	4.56
Ronald Murray	45	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-9	11	17.2	17.2	0.02	16.4	15.3	1.06
Vitaly Potapenko	68	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-8	9	17.0	17.9	-0.90	15.3	18.2	-2.87
Brent Barry	47	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-5	3	16.3	18.4	-2.06	15.1	16.8	-1.72
Calvin Booth	24	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	1	-9	18.1	16.9	1.18	17.2	15.4	1.76
Reggie Evans	44	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	3	-13	18.4	16.0	2.41	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Rashard Lewis	71	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-6	5	17.2	17.5	-0.28	15.3	18.7	-3.43
Antonio Daniels	37	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	0	-7	17.4	17.1	0.30	16.5	15.4	1.08
Ray Allen	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	4	-15	17.0	19.0	-1.97	16.1	14.3	1.79

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	69	68	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-6	19	15.5	17.2	-1.62	17.0	18.1	-1.11
Michael Olowokandi	38	39	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	-1	9	17.0	15.1	1.91	17.1	17.3	-0.24
Kevin Garnett	77	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	5	-3	16.0	15.1	0.91	17.0	18.5	-1.45
Fred Hoiberg	26	24	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	1	5	13.9	16.7	-2.79	19.1	16.5	2.57
Mark Madsen	26	27	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	0	7	16.1	15.8	0.33	18.3	16.8	1.50
Latrell Sprewell	75	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	7	-7	15.6	17.6	-2.03	16.8	19.8	-3.02
Trenton Hassell	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	2	3	15.5	16.3	-0.72	16.3	18.2	-1.97
Wally Szczerbiak	33	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.13	1	6	-5	17.5	14.9	2.51	17.7	17.0	0.67
Ervin Johnson	32	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	8	-9	15.3	16.2	-0.90	17.5	17.1	0.44
Darrick Martin	19	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	13	-19	17.2	15.5	1.62	18.1	17.0	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.4%
CHI 96, LAL 104	0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.64,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.93,1,1,1	94.2%
BOS 87, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.81,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%