inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 87 Excitement4.8 [845] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +15.4%
San Antonio Spurs 103 Comeback1.1 [1047] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -26.0%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jumaine Jones0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.01383%0.0600.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0.020,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.021062%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Chucky Atkins0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.01-0.021450%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Chris Mihm0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mark Blount0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.030.02786%0.072-0.0700%0.00
Brandon Hunter0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Stewart0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Banks-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.020.00550%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Ricky Davis-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.010.00945%0.003-0.06250%-0.01
Jiri Welsch-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.01743%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.260,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.22-0.07-0.032433%-0.194-0.076100%0.03

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.110.02-0.021090%0.244-0.089100%0.05
Tim Duncan0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.020.011381%0.213-0.106100%0.03
Charlie Ward00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.01687%0.074-0.073100%0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.051137%0.032-0.06250%-0.02
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.050.00962%0.052-0.09650%-0.02
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02633%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00731%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.010.02831%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.529.216.824.12.324.4125.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +39.6%
SAS +6.5%
SAS +11.7%
BOS -14.8%
SAS +7.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSSASNBABOSSASNBA
this game15.614.915.792.6108.4100.5
season14.415.999.5100.1
opponent15.815.992.7102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.215.217.216.215.6
SAS13.514.816.315.014.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jumaine Jones23220.17-0.670.84-0.078-243213.116.4-3.3114.415.0-0.64
Brandon Hunter440.00-0.500.500.000-161611.715.8-4.0515.214.80.41
Michael Stewart660.00-0.500.50-0.124-202411.715.9-4.2317.214.72.47
Ricky Davis5456-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-171814.916.6-1.7814.515.3-0.77
Chris Mihm1011-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-151414.915.7-0.8113.215.1-1.89
Marcus Banks3635-0.11-0.390.29-0.110-161614.116.6-2.4613.915.4-1.44
Paul Pierce7274-0.41-0.09-0.320.09-171-1816.114.11.9514.914.70.24
Chucky Atkins6264-0.44-0.06-0.370.09-182-2016.813.33.5615.114.30.79
Mark Blount7878-0.45-0.05-0.410.10-193-2216.013.72.3414.914.60.32
Jiri Welsch4949-0.560.06-0.61-0.12-15-1-1416.015.20.8615.314.31.02
Walter McCarty7676-0.650.15-0.810.02-237-3016.213.42.7715.014.10.93

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen73710.52-0.020.54-0.1021-52615.014.30.7016.612.54.11
Tim Duncan58590.450.050.390.011511414.914.80.0717.113.23.87
Manu Ginobili47460.400.100.290.07115614.914.9-0.0015.216.0-0.85
Tony Parker73710.350.150.21-0.091511414.516.0-1.5516.014.61.35
Rasho Nesterovic57560.340.160.18-0.101511415.513.91.6015.715.60.08
Devin Brown27270.160.34-0.190.07313-1014.515.0-0.4714.915.9-1.09
Malik Rose55550.100.40-0.300.01313-1014.415.5-1.1214.417.3-2.92
Robert Horry13120.100.40-0.300.01313-1014.015.0-0.9915.915.60.33
Hedo Turkoglu54550.090.41-0.31-0.08610-414.515.3-0.8215.515.8-0.29
Charlie Ward660.000.50-0.500.12-420-2417.214.72.4711.715.9-4.23
Jason Hart660.000.50-0.500.12-420-2417.214.72.4711.715.9-4.23
Kevin Willis660.000.50-0.500.12-420-2417.214.72.4711.715.9-4.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.81,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 103, HOU 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.96,195.3%
DAL 86, PHX 1060.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
WAS 81, IND 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%