inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 96 Excitement5.5 [698] MVPMike Penberthy (LAL): +11.7%
Los Angeles Lakers 104 Comeback1.0 [1226] LVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): -15.0%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khalid El-Amin0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.011262%0.081-0.0200%0.00
A.J. Guyton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00856%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ron Mercer-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.010.052553%0.021-0.021100%0.00
Jake Voskuhl-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00175%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Marcus Fizer-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.02333%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dragan Tarlac-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Corey Benjamin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00747%-0.021-0.0310%-0.02
Elton Brand-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.011747%-0.013-0.05250%-0.02
Metta World Peace-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.001344%-0.061-0.016100%0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Penberthy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.010.01881%0.1200.0000%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.130.010.03983%0.1100.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.03-0.00475%0.0800.0000%0.00
Horace Grant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.01874%0.101-0.03367%-0.01
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.01470%0.0300.00250%-0.00
Greg Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.022100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Isaiah Rider0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01462%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.01633%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.120.02-0.032242%-0.042-0.04967%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.18-0.02-0.051139%-0.093-0.061443%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.626.016.824.12.431.4127.1
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +40.3%
LAL +0.8%
LAL +5.6%
LAL +0.8%
LAL +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHILALNBACHILALNBA
this game16.915.615.5109.1116.9100.9
season16.415.695.2106.8
opponent15.215.1101.8104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI15.215.719.018.416.9
LAL13.116.315.318.515.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Ruffin3533-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-101216.617.2-0.5515.315.8-0.43
A.J. Guyton4746-0.08-0.420.33-0.111-91015.518.6-3.1015.915.30.59
Jake Voskuhl1616-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-5215.517.2-1.7512.016.4-4.40
Metta World Peace5858-0.12-0.380.25-0.213-111416.617.6-0.9616.214.41.82
Marcus Fizer98-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-5219.416.62.8015.715.60.16
Ron Mercer7677-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.29-2-6417.314.33.0115.914.01.86
Elton Brand8284-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.32-1-7616.522.5-5.9815.714.61.07
Corey Benjamin3031-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-113-1417.616.60.9614.416.2-1.82
Dragan Tarlac3437-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.06-113-1418.316.12.1717.214.42.80
Khalid El-Amin5355-0.560.06-0.63-0.12-157-2217.615.91.7415.016.6-1.54

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal70690.59-0.090.690.2412-41615.117.6-2.5717.614.62.93
Kobe Bryant75740.490.010.480.1711-31415.317.1-1.8216.320.4-4.16
Brian Shaw33340.380.120.270.0312-41615.315.8-0.4817.616.51.02
Ron Harper45440.320.180.140.0980814.616.6-1.9517.216.60.59
Horace Grant72710.310.190.120.1362415.316.9-1.5816.020.6-4.60
Isaiah Rider40380.210.29-0.090.2108-815.415.8-0.3817.116.80.31
Mike Penberthy47460.200.30-0.110.1717-616.414.71.7816.817.0-0.18
Robert Horry16170.170.33-0.160.0835-216.315.50.8618.916.52.42
Mark Madsen11100.130.37-0.230.1117-619.615.04.6019.216.62.56
Devean George16160.120.38-0.270.15-19-1017.915.12.7719.116.52.60
Greg Foster99-0.200.70-0.91-0.03-614-2016.115.50.5612.917.4-4.50
Rick Fox1112-0.220.72-0.93-0.01-715-2216.315.50.7615.117.2-2.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.64,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.93,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 85, HOU 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,194.3%
IND 97, SAC 1080.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,194.2%
SEA 83, MIN 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.98,194.2%