NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	5.7 [700]		MVP	Juwan Howard (HOU): +17.2%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	1.0 [1123]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -15.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royal Ivey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Josh Smith	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	11	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Al Harrington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	14	40%	-0.06	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.04	20	38%	-0.02	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.01	7	71%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	11	42%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.09	17	62%	0.06	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	16	57%	0.08	8	-0.21	12	92%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	37.3	17.0	29.0	2.4	34.4	146.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.6%

HOU +17.2%

HOU +18.9%

ATL -13.1%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	HOU	NBA	ATL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.3	15.5	15.6	88.5	103.1	104.4
season	15.6	16.1		103.9	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.5		101.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	12.6	16.0	13.8	14.3
HOU	15.5	14.1	16.0	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	-9	3	15.1	14.2	0.88	15.7	15.5	0.16
John Thomas	7	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-10	5	15.9	14.2	1.67	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Josh Childress	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-12	9	14.8	13.8	0.96	16.2	14.8	1.39
John Edwards	19	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.12	-9	-6	-3	13.2	14.6	-1.37	19.6	14.5	5.13
Salim Stoudamire	58	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-7	-1	13.4	15.8	-2.40	14.1	17.7	-3.59
Al Harrington	77	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-13	11	14.5	13.4	1.18	15.1	17.5	-2.42
Marvin Williams	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	14.6	14.1	0.49	17.3	13.7	3.52
Zaza Pachulia	77	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-9	3	14.6	13.2	1.37	14.5	19.6	-5.13
Joe Johnson	86	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	-7	-1	14.1	15.9	-1.77	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Josh Smith	47	46	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	5	-25	14.3	14.3	-0.07	15.8	15.3	0.57

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	70	69	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.00	28	-13	41	15.4	16.0	-0.61	14.1	14.8	-0.65
Juwan Howard	61	59	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.03	19	-4	23	16.1	14.5	1.63	15.2	12.9	2.31
David Wesley	78	77	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	-1	17	15.6	15.2	0.39	13.8	16.5	-2.69
Dikembe Mutombo	25	25	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	7	1	19.7	14.1	5.65	16.0	13.7	2.34
Yao Ming	71	71	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	5	5	14.3	19.0	-4.75	13.7	16.0	-2.34
Derek Anderson	61	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	13	-11	16.9	13.2	3.62	14.7	13.7	0.99
Stromile Swift	25	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	18	-21	15.5	15.5	-0.06	14.6	14.2	0.33
Ryan Bowen	20	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	17	-19	12.7	16.3	-3.56	12.0	14.9	-2.86
Luther Head	74	75	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	18	-21	14.6	18.6	-3.98	14.5	13.5	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.8%
CHI 96, LAL 104	0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.64,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.93,1,1,1	94.3%
NYK 96, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,0.93,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1	94.3%