NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	78		Excitement	4.5 [931]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +10.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	1.3 [1002]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -15.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zeljko Rebraca	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	16	65%	0.09	5	-0.12	8	50%	-0.04
Quinton Ross	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	11	27%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	10	44%	-0.03	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.03	15	39%	-0.12	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	11	76%	0.18	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	53%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.06	6	85%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	16	42%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	33.4	15.5	22.2	1.8	29.3	129.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +39.3%

MIN +6.3%

LAC -8.2%

MIN +12.0%

MIN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	17.0	15.2	15.6	86.7	104.5	104.4
season	15.2	16.1		103.9	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.6	16.3	17.4	17.8	17.0
MIN	12.9	17.2	13.2	18.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	33	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-22	29	16.0	17.5	-1.54	16.6	14.3	2.31
James Singleton	20	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-18	21	15.1	17.5	-2.41	15.9	15.0	0.91
Zeljko Rebraca	22	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-10	5	19.5	16.2	3.28	15.3	15.1	0.21
Daniel Ewing	37	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-10	5	17.8	16.4	1.37	15.7	14.8	0.89
Sam Cassell	65	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-6	-3	16.5	18.3	-1.80	15.1	15.5	-0.46
Chris Kaman	41	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.19	-18	3	-21	16.6	17.3	-0.63	13.8	16.3	-2.44
Elton Brand	76	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	1	-17	17.3	15.1	2.26	14.9	16.7	-1.77
Quinton Ross	75	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	1	-17	17.1	16.3	0.77	15.1	15.6	-0.45
Cuttino Mobley	81	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	1	-17	16.9	17.4	-0.52	15.2	14.6	0.62

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	69	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.05	23	-8	31	14.4	17.9	-3.49	17.1	16.5	0.65
Trenton Hassell	48	49	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-3	21	13.0	17.7	-4.71	16.7	17.4	-0.71
Marko Jaric	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-2	19	15.2	15.0	0.23	16.6	18.7	-2.11
Anthony Carter	24	24	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	4	7	17.0	14.5	2.48	18.4	16.5	1.91
Wally Szczerbiak	64	66	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	3	9	14.9	16.0	-1.07	16.6	18.0	-1.39
Mark Madsen	33	33	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	12	-9	16.8	14.3	2.49	17.6	16.6	0.99
Michael Olowokandi	48	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	9	-3	14.2	16.3	-2.04	15.9	18.2	-2.27
Troy Hudson	38	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.23	-8	23	-31	16.9	13.9	2.93	17.1	16.9	0.13
Rashad McCants	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	16	-17	15.5	15.1	0.41	18.3	16.7	1.55
Eddie Griffin	22	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	15	-15	16.4	14.8	1.56	17.7	16.7	1.00
Richie Frahm	9	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	21	-27	18.6	14.8	3.74	18.3	16.8	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.99,0.99,1	94.7%
OKC 108, ORL 121	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MIL 92, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%