NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	4.9 [825]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +18.9%
Atlanta Hawks	111		Comeback	1.4 [616]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (MIL): -16.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	14	59%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	17	60%	0.03	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Desmond Mason	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	13	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Tim Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	0.02	0.01	20	41%	-0.03	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	8	12%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.04	0.02	20	67%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	12	81%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.05	14	61%	0.10	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	0.07	9	70%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	9	35%	-0.06	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	25.5	15.3	25.5	2.5	24.3	117.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +55.3%

ATL +6.8%

MIL -21.8%

ATL +10.2%

MIL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.8	15.5	97.9	119.4	101.6
season	15.4	15.1		106.3	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.8		103.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.4	13.5	14.9	14.9	15.0
ATL	12.4	16.5	15.1	20.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Haislip	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-17	15	14.5	15.0	-0.47	30.0	15.5	14.46
Dan Gadzuric	17	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-13	7	17.2	14.5	2.71	13.5	16.3	-2.84
Desmond Mason	65	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-13	7	14.7	15.6	-0.86	16.6	14.3	2.24
Tim Thomas	59	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-14	9	15.2	14.6	0.52	17.4	13.2	4.17
Jason Caffey	35	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-17	15	14.1	15.5	-1.43	14.1	17.0	-2.88
Toni Kukoc	46	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-11	3	13.8	16.1	-2.26	12.9	18.5	-5.58
Ervin Johnson	36	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-9	-1	15.4	14.7	0.74	18.4	14.2	4.19
Sam Cassell	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	-1	-17	15.8	11.8	3.95	16.4	13.6	2.84
Gary Payton	84	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	-1	-17	15.0	14.7	0.29	13.7	32.1	-18.42
Michael Redd	52	52	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.00	-20	1	-21	14.4	15.6	-1.20	18.0	13.1	4.88

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	81	84	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	-3	25	16.1	14.1	2.03	15.2	12.9	2.30
Glenn Robinson	77	78	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	1	17	14.0	24.9	-10.98	15.4	12.9	2.51
Ira Newble	31	30	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	5	9	14.1	16.7	-2.68	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Theo Ratliff	60	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	5	9	15.8	15.9	-0.09	15.8	13.4	2.41
Jermaine Jackson	23	26	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	9	1	21.0	14.1	6.90	13.2	15.6	-2.44
Jason Terry	78	77	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.10	12	7	5	15.5	17.5	-2.01	15.3	13.2	2.10
Alan Henderson	31	31	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	16	-13	15.0	16.3	-1.27	13.3	15.8	-2.44
Brandon Williams	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	30.0	15.5	14.46	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Dan Dickau	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	30.0	15.5	14.46	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Dion Glover	60	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	17	-15	16.2	15.2	1.08	15.1	14.7	0.35
Darvin Ham	20	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	23	-27	17.5	15.4	2.17	12.8	15.5	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
PHI 102, LAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DAL 84, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%