NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	84		Excitement	4.8 [843]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +18.2%
Washington Wizards	102		Comeback	1.1 [519]		LVP	Erick Dampier (DAL): -11.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.22	0.01	0.05	16	80%	0.26	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.03
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	17	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	8	64%	0.00	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	12	33%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	19	49%	0.09	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	11	82%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	72%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.01	0.06	20	60%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	43%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	26.4	15.4	26.4	2.3	28.6	122.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +23.1%

DAL -2.9%

WAS +8.1%

WAS +23.0%

DAL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	NBA	DAL	WAS	NBA
this game	17.0	16.7	15.4	98.8	118.6	105.7
season	16.1	16.1		108.9	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.4		107.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	19.2	18.1	16.2	14.9	17.0
WAS	15.1	17.9	15.8	17.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	16	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-18	18	15.5	17.4	-1.89	16.3	16.7	-0.47
Jose Juan Barea	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	9.7	17.3	-7.64	18.0	16.6	1.40
Devean George	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	-12	6	14.1	17.3	-3.15	16.7	16.6	0.02
Devin Harris	59	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-15	12	17.0	17.1	-0.06	17.6	14.6	2.95
DeSagana Diop	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-14	10	17.1	17.0	0.12	17.0	16.5	0.49
Eddie Jones	26	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-15	12	16.5	17.3	-0.72	16.6	16.7	-0.11
Erick Dampier	43	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-14	10	18.0	16.1	1.86	16.7	16.6	0.03
Brandon Bass	19	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.03	-12	-6	-6	17.6	16.9	0.77	14.6	17.3	-2.67
Dirk Nowitzki	67	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-8	-2	16.9	17.7	-0.87	17.1	15.0	2.09
Josh Howard	71	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-6	-6	17.9	12.9	5.00	17.0	14.5	2.58
Jerry Stackhouse	43	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	-1	-16	16.4	17.6	-1.20	15.1	18.2	-3.02
Jason Terry	47	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	-2	-14	17.2	16.8	0.35	16.4	17.0	-0.60

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	70	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-2	22	16.7	16.4	0.34	16.7	18.6	-1.96
Caron Butler	81	81	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	-1	20	16.3	22.2	-5.89	16.8	22.5	-5.73
Antawn Jamison	69	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-2	22	17.0	15.4	1.54	16.6	18.9	-2.31
DeShawn Stevenson	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	1	16	16.6	16.7	-0.07	16.8	17.9	-1.06
Oleksiy Pecherov	23	23	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	13	-8	14.9	17.3	-2.43	18.7	16.4	2.22
Brendan Haywood	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	11	-4	16.9	16.5	0.39	17.3	16.7	0.59
Nick Young	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	19	-20	16.4	16.8	-0.38	18.9	16.3	2.62
Andray Blatche	21	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	12	-6	18.8	16.0	2.86	14.5	17.8	-3.32
Darius Songaila	22	21	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	21	-24	17.1	16.5	0.65	19.3	16.3	3.05
Roger Mason Jr.	10	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	18	-18	15.3	16.8	-1.53	17.1	17.0	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DAL 78, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ATL 92, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%