NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	87		Excitement	4.5 [897]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +5.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	1.2 [1196]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -12.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.06	4	100%	-0.00	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	14	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Joakim Noah	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	16	37%	-0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.01	0.05	9	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	17	52%	0.09	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	53%	0.01	3	-0.07	5	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.7	32.6	18.8	31.4	3.6	34.0	150.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +53.4%

CHI -4.2%

CHI -7.3%

CLE +8.6%

CHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	18.2	15.3	98.9	118.8	106.0
season	14.7	16.1		101.9	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.7		103.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	14.8	15.4	15.2	15.1
CLE	17.5	19.0	16.0	20.6	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	9	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	15.0	15.2	-0.16	22.4	17.6	4.78
Jannero Pargo	19	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-15	16	15.2	15.1	0.01	20.6	17.4	3.15
Brad Miller	44	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-8	2	13.8	16.5	-2.70	18.7	17.7	1.03
Lindsey Hunter	34	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-15	16	13.2	16.4	-3.12	20.4	16.8	3.59
James Johnson	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-10	6	13.6	16.5	-2.88	19.6	17.0	2.64
John Salmons	59	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	15.7	14.0	1.76	17.2	19.9	-2.69
Taj Gibson	65	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-6	-2	15.7	13.5	2.26	17.6	19.9	-2.26
Derrick Rose	54	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	1	-16	16.4	13.2	3.12	16.8	20.4	-3.59
Luol Deng	58	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	1	-16	15.6	14.2	1.44	17.3	20.0	-2.73
Joakim Noah	58	54	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.02	-18	4	-22	15.5	14.4	1.13	17.6	19.2	-1.61

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	61	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-5	24	17.4	20.3	-2.97	15.4	14.4	1.01
JJ Hickson	37	39	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-4	22	16.4	19.6	-3.27	15.3	15.1	0.20
Anderson Varejao	50	50	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	-4	22	19.7	16.0	3.69	14.7	15.8	-1.08
Anthony Parker	48	50	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	5	4	16.6	20.2	-3.62	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Mo Williams	66	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	-1	16	17.5	20.6	-3.06	16.0	12.5	3.47
Shaquille O'Neal	34	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	11	-8	15.5	20.0	-4.50	16.2	14.4	1.87
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	37	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	16	-18	20.5	16.4	4.05	15.0	15.3	-0.26
Daniel Gibson	46	47	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	15	-16	19.8	16.3	3.59	14.1	16.3	-2.14
Delonte West	8	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	14	-14	19.6	18.1	1.57	13.5	15.4	-1.94
Jamario Moon	23	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	15	-16	19.3	17.8	1.51	15.3	15.1	0.18
Danny Green	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	22.1	17.7	4.37	14.7	15.2	-0.44
Darnell Jackson	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	22.2	17.9	4.27	15.2	15.1	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
SAC 102, TOR 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DAL 94, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%