NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	4.9 [839]		MVP	Greivis Vasquez (TOR): +22.9%
Toronto Raptors	119		Comeback	1.4 [920]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -12.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.03	11	71%	0.11	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.04	-0.02	17	56%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	54%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.03
Ray McCallum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	10	60%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	10	54%	0.06	9	-0.19	4	75%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.09	0.00	9	100%	0.27	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.02	0.07	16	66%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.01	0.05	6	100%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	0.00	10	65%	0.14	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.03	8	69%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	5	20%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	4	67%	0.04	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	13	40%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.6	29.4	15.5	30.2	1.8	29.0	131.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +49.1%

SAC -4.0%

TOR +5.8%

TOR +1.4%

SAC -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	TOR	NBA	SAC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	15.7	15.1	107.4	124.0	104.2
season	14.9	15.6		103.7	109.1
opponent	15.0	14.8		106.8	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	15.8	16.7	12.0	14.4
TOR	15.3	16.9	13.3	17.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray McCallum	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	10.1	14.9	-4.82	21.4	15.1	6.32
Ryan Hollins	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	10.1	14.9	-4.82	21.4	15.1	6.32
DeMarcus Cousins	61	62	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-13	9	14.5	14.3	0.14	14.9	17.3	-2.45
Derrick Williams	23	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-12	7	14.3	14.4	-0.08	17.4	15.1	2.30
Ramon Sessions	34	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-11	5	15.4	13.9	1.51	16.2	15.5	0.77
Ben McLemore	72	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-13	9	14.3	14.8	-0.55	15.8	15.4	0.46
Nik Stauskas	33	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-7	-3	13.4	15.0	-1.56	17.2	15.0	2.24
Jason Thompson	59	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-3	-11	15.7	12.2	3.52	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Darren Collison	61	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-3	-11	14.4	14.4	-0.00	14.7	17.6	-2.89
Rudy Gay	67	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.09	-17	0	-17	14.9	13.4	1.49	14.0	19.6	-5.66
Carl Landry	45	45	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.07	-17	0	-17	14.1	14.7	-0.57	15.9	15.6	0.28

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	68	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	2	13	13.7	20.7	-7.07	14.7	13.5	1.20
Jonas Valanciunas	52	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	6	5	15.9	15.5	0.44	14.5	14.4	0.09
DeMar DeRozan	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	4	9	14.2	18.8	-4.66	15.1	13.0	2.17
Lou Williams	53	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	1	15	16.4	15.0	1.38	13.2	15.9	-2.64
Amir Johnson	45	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	8	1	14.7	16.7	-1.98	14.8	14.1	0.78
Greivis Vasquez	59	55	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	10	-3	18.4	11.6	6.79	14.8	13.9	0.93
Patrick Patterson	46	46	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	12	-7	15.7	15.8	-0.13	14.7	14.2	0.51
Tyler Hansbrough	22	23	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	11	-5	19.7	14.6	5.11	13.5	14.7	-1.17
James Johnson	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	17	-17	16.5	15.6	0.86	10.8	15.1	-4.29
Charles Hayes	27	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	14	-11	14.0	16.4	-2.42	14.0	14.6	-0.63
Terrence Ross	29	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	17	-17	17.2	15.1	2.05	15.3	14.0	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ATL 74, MIL 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	95.0%
VAN 86, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%