NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	74		Excitement	4.9 [819]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (MIL): +12.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	84		Comeback	1.2 [1088]		LVP	Matt Maloney (ATL): -15.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Hanno Mottola	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	3	62%	0.01	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
DerMarr Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Larry Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	19%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	11	44%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Jim Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	13	48%	-0.06	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.01	-0.06	8	69%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	17	57%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	17	50%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	13	47%	-0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	45%	-0.04	2	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.5	15.5	25.5	2.4	28.3	128.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.3%

ATL -9.4%

ATL -8.5%

MIL +34.4%

ATL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	17.2	15.8	15.5	84.1	97.7	100.9
season	15.4	14.9		96.0	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.1		102.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.1	17.7	16.2	17.2	17.2
MIL	18.8	14.4	13.7	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-14	18	17.2	17.3	-0.02	17.0	15.4	1.60
Lorenzen Wright	36	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-9	8	17.2	17.3	-0.14	15.9	15.8	0.18
DerMarr Johnson	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-6	2	17.7	17.0	0.71	15.1	16.2	-1.16
Matt Maloney	38	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-4	-2	18.6	16.3	2.29	16.5	15.3	1.19
Hanno Mottola	10	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-2	-6	15.8	17.4	-1.64	11.1	16.5	-5.36
Chris Crawford	20	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	0	-10	17.6	17.1	0.52	17.1	15.5	1.54
Larry Robinson	55	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-11	12	16.6	18.3	-1.64	16.0	15.6	0.35
Jason Terry	29	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-2	-6	15.6	18.1	-2.53	14.1	16.7	-2.62
Dikembe Mutombo	63	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-7	4	17.5	16.7	0.74	16.8	13.4	3.44
Alan Henderson	67	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-2	-6	17.3	17.0	0.27	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Jim Jackson	72	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	17.4	16.5	0.92	15.7	16.2	-0.51

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	68	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-5	20	15.4	17.6	-2.24	17.3	17.0	0.32
Ray Allen	65	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	2	6	15.9	15.7	0.23	17.1	17.6	-0.43
Sam Cassell	70	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	1	8	14.9	20.0	-5.11	17.3	17.1	0.21
Mark Pope	38	42	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	0	10	16.1	15.7	0.39	18.0	16.5	1.48
Ervin Johnson	59	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	13	-16	16.7	13.9	2.89	16.9	18.1	-1.30
Lindsey Hunter	38	37	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	7	-4	17.1	14.9	2.22	17.4	17.2	0.22
Tim Thomas	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	4	2	15.0	16.6	-1.61	16.0	18.3	-2.29
Joel Przybilla	11	13	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	4	2	17.5	15.6	1.85	18.6	17.0	1.60
Jason Caffey	41	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	14	-18	15.9	15.8	0.12	17.7	16.9	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 92, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
UTA 83, NJN 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.4%
VAN 86, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%