NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	83		Excitement	4.7 [896]		MVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): +8.3%
New Jersey Nets	91		Comeback	1.4 [948]		LVP	Greg Ostertag (UTA): -9.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith McLeod	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	6	79%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	11	48%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	17	46%	0.04	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Owens	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	10	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	9	75%	0.12	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	9	57%	0.09	3	-0.04	12	75%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	19	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	45%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	26.5	14.8	25.1	1.8	29.5	124.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +47.5%

NJN +1.3%

UTA -0.7%

UTA -1.9%

NJN +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NJN	NBA	UTA	NJN	NBA
this game	17.9	14.9	15.6	95.4	102.2	104.4
season	17.0	15.7		101.7	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.0		100.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.6	19.4	18.7	15.8	17.9
NJN	15.1	15.0	12.6	17.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	32	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-13	18	17.5	18.1	-0.64	15.9	14.3	1.66
Milt Palacio	22	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-15	22	15.8	18.6	-2.81	17.0	14.2	2.75
Andre Owens	16	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-6	4	18.4	17.8	0.61	13.5	15.2	-1.68
Kris Humphries	51	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.33	9	-17	26	16.8	19.4	-2.68	15.1	14.6	0.54
Gordan Giricek	38	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-5	2	19.6	16.5	3.07	15.2	14.6	0.61
Matt Harpring	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-5	2	16.9	18.7	-1.77	14.8	15.0	-0.21
Jarron Collins	58	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-12	16	16.8	20.1	-3.34	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Devin Brown	21	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	16.5	18.3	-1.84	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Andrei Kirilenko	58	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-5	2	18.4	16.8	1.62	14.9	14.9	-0.06
Greg Ostertag	29	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	4	-16	20.1	16.8	3.34	15.2	14.7	0.52
Mehmet Okur	26	27	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	11	-30	20.3	16.8	3.47	14.7	15.0	-0.32
Keith McLeod	45	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	9	-26	18.2	17.5	0.68	13.8	16.0	-2.20

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	73	72	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-9	26	14.7	15.7	-0.98	17.7	18.8	-1.12
Jason Kidd	61	59	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-4	16	15.2	14.3	0.88	19.1	15.4	3.71
Vince Carter	66	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	-2	12	15.2	14.1	1.08	19.1	14.4	4.67
Nenad Krstic	58	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	1	6	16.2	12.5	3.74	17.8	18.1	-0.34
Jason Collins	55	52	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	4	0	16.3	12.6	3.77	19.1	16.0	3.13
Clifford Robinson	31	31	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	4	0	13.7	15.5	-1.81	17.9	17.9	0.05
Marc Jackson	28	28	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	3	2	13.1	15.7	-2.55	17.3	18.2	-0.87
Zoran Planinic	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	14	-20	13.6	15.5	-1.88	16.9	18.4	-1.52
Lamond Murray	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	3.3	15.3	-11.96	7.0	18.1	-11.13
Jacque Vaughn	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	3.3	15.3	-11.96	7.0	18.1	-11.13
Scott Padgett	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	3.3	15.3	-11.96	7.0	18.1	-11.13
Jeff McInnis	35	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	15	-22	16.3	14.0	2.30	15.5	19.5	-4.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 74, MIL 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	95.4%
CHA 80, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
PHX 88, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%