NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	4.9 [820]		MVP	Raja Bell (GSW): +8.0%
Boston Celtics	109		Comeback	1.2 [1284]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -14.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.06	13	66%	0.10	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	11	42%	0.00	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	-0.02	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	10	54%	0.01	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	21	41%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.02	0.06	12	68%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.12	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.05
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.06	10	65%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.03	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	62%	0.07	4	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.7	29.7	15.7	31.3	2.0	31.0	138.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.4%

BOS +1.7%

BOS +9.9%

BOS +7.0%

GSW -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	13.8	14.9	15.3	95.0	107.9	106.0
season	13.4	15.5		106.5	105.7
opponent	15.7	14.8		102.1	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.6	15.7	12.7	12.5	13.8
BOS	13.6	18.6	12.6	15.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	73	71	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-19	24	13.5	14.5	-1.03	16.1	12.1	3.96
Mikki Moore	60	58	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-14	14	13.5	14.1	-0.59	16.1	13.3	2.83
Vladimir Radmanovic	59	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	-2	-10	13.8	13.7	0.06	15.1	14.5	0.67
Corey Maggette	67	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-4	-6	14.4	12.6	1.78	14.6	15.4	-0.75
Anthony Randolph	50	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-2	-10	13.9	13.6	0.26	13.7	16.2	-2.45
Raja Bell	47	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-2	-10	14.1	13.5	0.63	14.6	15.1	-0.48
Monta Ellis	84	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	2	-18	13.7	14.2	-0.57	14.6	16.6	-1.96
Anthony Morrow	60	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	-1	-12	13.4	14.3	-0.88	14.0	16.2	-2.27

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	74	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-4	22	15.1	14.3	0.75	14.4	11.9	2.52
Paul Pierce	68	71	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	-2	18	15.2	14.2	0.99	14.4	12.2	2.25
Ray Allen	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.12	17	-3	20	14.6	15.2	-0.57	14.7	12.3	2.44
Kevin Garnett	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	1	12	15.4	14.0	1.37	14.7	12.3	2.38
Kendrick Perkins	64	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	3	8	15.4	14.1	1.31	13.8	13.8	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	35	34	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	6	2	14.5	15.1	-0.52	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Shelden Williams	35	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	16	-18	13.9	15.4	-1.48	12.1	14.6	-2.46
Eddie House	39	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	12	-10	13.8	15.5	-1.69	12.9	14.2	-1.29
Marquis Daniels	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	13	-12	15.5	14.5	0.91	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Brian Scalabrine	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	15.2	14.9	0.30	8.2	14.1	-5.86
Lester Hudson	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	15.2	14.9	0.30	8.2	14.1	-5.86
J.R. Giddens	18	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.16	-8	22	-30	13.5	15.2	-1.68	11.3	14.2	-2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DAL 94, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHA 80, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%