NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	4.7 [867]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +15.3%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	1.2 [987]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -16.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.03	-0.03	15	65%	0.15	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Best	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	3	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	53%	-0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	12	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	13	35%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	9	44%	-0.05	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Paul Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.07	16	66%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	13	55%	0.04	4	-0.08	12	75%	0.01
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	10	38%	-0.04	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	48%	0.02	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	28.2	16.0	22.2	1.7	33.0	127.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.7%

UTA +5.6%

UTA +24.6%

DAL -10.4%

DAL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.5	16.5	15.7	97.9	112.5	100.5
season	14.6	17.2		109.2	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.6		100.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	13.6	14.2	12.3	13.5
UTA	18.0	18.5	14.0	15.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	28	27	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-19	24	10.8	14.6	-3.78	14.8	17.2	-2.34
Tony Delk	40	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-22	30	14.5	12.8	1.71	18.4	15.1	3.34
Shawn Bradley	23	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-21	28	11.3	14.2	-2.94	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Travis Best	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.22	5	-19	24	12.8	13.7	-0.94	17.3	16.2	1.11
Antawn Jamison	50	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-1	-12	14.4	12.5	1.88	17.1	15.8	1.36
Marquis Daniels	58	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-6	-2	12.5	15.0	-2.53	14.7	19.1	-4.38
Dirk Nowitzki	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.24	-20	6	-26	14.0	12.1	1.89	17.6	13.3	4.28
Steve Nash	60	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	-1	-12	13.3	13.8	-0.49	15.8	17.6	-1.83
Antoine Walker	57	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	3	-20	14.0	12.8	1.23	16.0	17.2	-1.29
Michael Finley	68	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.13	-24	10	-34	14.5	11.2	3.28	16.8	15.8	1.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	48	48	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	0	14	15.9	17.1	-1.12	14.1	12.9	1.12
DeShawn Stevenson	61	60	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-5	24	16.5	16.5	0.07	14.4	12.0	2.44
Greg Ostertag	78	79	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	3	8	16.2	17.7	-1.50	13.2	14.7	-1.47
Andrei Kirilenko	82	82	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	0	14	16.7	15.5	1.17	13.7	12.3	1.42
Sasha Pavlovic	32	33	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	10	-6	15.8	16.8	-0.98	14.0	13.2	0.81
Jarron Collins	60	59	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	5	4	17.4	15.0	2.36	13.9	12.8	1.08
Raja Bell	59	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	4	6	16.7	16.1	0.64	13.1	14.2	-1.17
Mo Williams	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	13.5	16.6	-3.13	12.0	13.6	-1.57
Raul Lopez	48	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	14	-14	17.1	15.9	1.12	12.9	14.1	-1.12
Paul Grant	8	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	20	-26	13.0	16.8	-3.82	5.9	14.2	-8.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
GSW 95, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHA 80, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%