NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Excitement	5.3 [773]		MVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): +37.0%
Orlando Magic	121		Comeback	1.5 [382]		LVP	Steven Adams (OKC): -10.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Roberson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	16	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	17	54%	0.02	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.06	9	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Dakari Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	0.00	0.13	23	64%	0.04	7	-0.11	12	67%	-0.03
Steven Adams	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	10	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.26	0.11	-0.00	23	70%	0.39	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	10	76%	0.15	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.01	0.06	5	92%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	59%	0.09	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	13	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mario Hezonja	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	31.2	14.6	31.2	2.3	29.6	135.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +73.5%

ORL +2.2%

OKC -26.1%

OKC -6.8%

ORL +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	ORL	NBA	OKC	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.4	14.7	110.2	123.5	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		109.4	104.2
opponent	14.5	15.3		109.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.8	15.6	15.5	15.0	14.9
ORL	13.3	15.7	13.3	15.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Roberson	63	63	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-14	15	14.6	15.6	-0.97	13.8	15.6	-1.76
Patrick Patterson	13	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	-6	-1	15.5	14.9	0.59	17.2	14.0	3.24
Dakari Johnson	15	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-10	7	15.1	14.9	0.22	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Jerami Grant	41	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-5	-3	15.2	14.7	0.51	15.2	14.0	1.19
Raymond Felton	31	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-4	-5	16.4	14.3	2.06	16.8	13.4	3.34
Carmelo Anthony	70	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-10	7	14.8	15.3	-0.47	13.9	15.9	-2.02
Steven Adams	57	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-8	3	14.7	15.2	-0.51	14.0	15.2	-1.19
Russell Westbrook	77	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-8	3	14.8	15.6	-0.85	14.1	16.0	-1.91
Terrance Ferguson	38	37	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	1	-15	16.4	14.0	2.32	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Paul George	85	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	-1	-11	14.2	19.7	-5.47	14.4	14.5	-0.03

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	91	90	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-4	21	14.2	17.3	-3.07	14.8	16.4	-1.55
Arron Afflalo	30	30	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.02	20	-7	27	15.6	13.9	1.72	16.9	14.1	2.81
D.J. Augustin	32	32	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-5	23	15.9	13.7	2.18	16.5	14.2	2.30
Nikola Vucevic	67	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-1	15	13.0	17.6	-4.69	14.9	15.1	-0.26
Evan Fournier	72	71	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	10	-7	13.4	17.3	-3.85	14.2	16.9	-2.63
Jonathon Simmons	69	68	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	10	-7	14.5	14.3	0.23	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Terrence Ross	25	27	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	13	-13	15.8	14.0	1.77	14.9	15.0	-0.03
Bismack Biyombo	31	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	14	-15	17.6	13.0	4.69	15.1	14.9	0.26
Elfrid Payton	66	66	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.10	-5	18	-23	13.7	15.9	-2.18	14.2	16.5	-2.30
Mario Hezonja	7	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	17	-21	17.3	14.2	3.07	16.4	14.8	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 102, NJN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DAL 77, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAC 78, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%