NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	99		Excitement	5.6 [733]		MVP	Etan Thomas (WAS): +11.6%
Washington Wizards	117		Comeback	1.2 [1060]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -12.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Jared Reiner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	4	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Chris Duhon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	8	57%	-0.00	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	10	25%	-0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	11	48%	-0.04	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
Andres Nocioni	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	36%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	80%	0.12	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.01	-0.10	24	54%	0.17	4	-0.10	11	91%	0.03
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	69%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Steve Blake	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	80%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	13	58%	-0.01	2	-0.03	10	100%	0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	20	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	4	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	-0.07	10	9%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.3	40.4	19.4	34.5	3.8	34.2	163.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +25.4%

WAS +10.5%

CHI -0.5%

WAS +18.1%

CHI -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	16.3	14.3	15.5	106.5	123.2	104.0
season	15.1	14.7		100.1	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.5	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.8	16.2	16.0	15.2	16.3
WAS	13.5	14.5	12.3	17.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Funderburke	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	0.0	16.3	-16.31	14.0	14.4	-0.35
Jared Reiner	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-18	18	15.1	16.4	-1.33	12.2	14.6	-2.40
Antonio Davis	54	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-18	18	17.0	15.4	1.64	15.5	12.7	2.76
Jannero Pargo	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-18	18	15.0	17.5	-2.53	15.5	13.4	2.13
Eric Piatkowski	17	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-13	8	15.8	16.4	-0.60	12.1	14.9	-2.78
Adrian Griffin	27	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-12	6	15.7	16.5	-0.80	12.9	15.0	-2.11
Kirk Hinrich	51	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-6	-6	16.9	15.6	1.35	15.5	13.0	2.55
Tyson Chandler	50	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-14	10	16.5	16.1	0.36	14.6	14.0	0.61
Andres Nocioni	65	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-8	-2	15.9	17.3	-1.39	14.5	14.1	0.43
Chris Duhon	58	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-3	-12	17.2	14.8	2.47	14.8	13.7	1.06
Ben Gordon	49	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.11	-17	-1	-16	15.6	17.1	-1.48	13.2	15.7	-2.55
Othella Harrington	42	39	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	3	-24	16.9	15.8	1.04	13.0	15.3	-2.33

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	63	63	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.08	23	-5	28	14.3	14.5	-0.18	17.3	14.3	3.02
Gilbert Arenas	91	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-1	20	14.3	15.0	-0.68	16.4	13.5	2.94
Antawn Jamison	89	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	0	18	14.2	16.0	-1.76	16.2	17.7	-1.45
Brendan Haywood	41	40	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	6	6	13.6	14.9	-1.30	18.2	14.9	3.27
Michael Ruffin	41	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	4	10	15.4	13.6	1.79	15.5	17.0	-1.52
Jared Jeffries	44	41	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	18	-18	13.3	15.3	-1.96	17.3	15.5	1.84
Etan Thomas	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.14	10	8	2	14.8	13.9	0.84	14.7	17.9	-3.24
Steve Blake	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	15.0	14.3	0.68	13.5	16.4	-2.94
Laron Profit	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	15.0	14.3	0.67	14.5	16.4	-1.85
Juan Dixon	44	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	20	-22	15.2	13.6	1.64	16.1	16.5	-0.39
Kwame Brown	10	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	20	-22	13.2	14.5	-1.28	11.1	16.9	-5.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 79, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
BOS 93, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NYK 127, GSW 144	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%