inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 79 Excitement4.4 [741] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +7.1%
Miami Heat 93 Comeback1.1 [904] LVPRajon Rondo (BOS): -17.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.11-0.000.041661%0.091-0.02683%0.01
Greg Stiemsma0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002100%0.0600.002100%0.01
Keyon Dooling0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Hollins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.03117%-0.0100.00425%-0.00
Brandon Bass-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.050.000.011133%-0.0600.0020%-0.01
Ray Allen-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01729%-0.061-0.01743%-0.05
Paul Pierce-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.021833%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.11-0.050.012040%-0.114-0.0700%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.001369%0.114-0.046100%0.03
LeBron James0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.020.012260%0.143-0.08967%-0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.00-0.00580%0.081-0.0300%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.02350%0.0400.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.011145%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01367%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.00237%-0.011-0.03425%-0.04
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.02-0.03941%-0.031-0.01475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.540.312.028.03.530.4144.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +48.2%
MIA +0.9%
MIA +1.6%
BOS -8.1%
MIA +7.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMIANBABOSMIANBA
this game16.417.915.695.2109.4102.8
season15.515.599.4105.6
opponent15.816.298.897.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS17.416.917.513.416.4
MIA16.919.114.421.517.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marquis Daniels230.00-0.500.50-0.062-161815.016.4-1.4020.317.82.52
Sean Williams230.00-0.500.50-0.062-161815.016.4-1.4020.317.82.52
E'Twaun Moore230.00-0.500.50-0.062-161815.016.4-1.4020.317.82.52
Sasha Pavlovic66-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-161811.216.8-5.6026.017.38.71
Ryan Hollins55-0.02-0.480.45-0.051-151618.816.22.5925.217.47.75
Greg Stiemsma1817-0.07-0.430.350.01-3-11817.816.01.8120.517.23.28
Keyon Dooling2020-0.15-0.350.19-0.01-5-9416.816.20.5816.818.2-1.38
Mickael Pietrus2829-0.23-0.270.040.09-11-3-815.017.0-2.0018.817.51.29
Ray Allen6769-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.09-9-5-417.013.73.3117.718.8-1.12
Brandon Bass6060-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-11-3-816.416.20.2018.117.50.55
Kevin Garnett5659-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.11-9-5-416.416.20.2116.321.5-5.12
Paul Pierce7171-0.47-0.03-0.430.00-162-1816.317.0-0.7517.619.4-1.82
Rajon Rondo7880-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.04-151-1616.218.8-2.5917.425.2-7.75

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James77770.51-0.010.530.0217-32018.017.40.5916.514.71.83
Dwyane Wade67660.440.060.38-0.0316-21818.216.71.5716.814.52.30
Shane Battier63630.420.080.35-0.0516-21817.319.6-2.2716.416.30.02
Mario Chalmers71700.380.120.250.1195417.321.0-3.7016.615.21.34
Ronny Turiaf36330.310.190.120.1368-215.919.4-3.4517.215.81.41
James Jones18170.200.30-0.090.09410-618.117.90.1914.916.7-1.79
Joel Anthony34360.130.37-0.24-0.0468-217.518.2-0.7316.916.00.93
Udonis Haslem28250.110.39-0.270.02311-820.716.54.1913.617.6-3.95
Norris Cole860.050.45-0.410.05014-1420.017.72.3115.816.4-0.57
Juwan Howard320.000.50-0.500.06-216-1820.317.82.5215.016.4-1.40
Mike Miller2020-0.060.56-0.630.08-519-2419.617.42.2816.116.4-0.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 99, WAS 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
SAC 90, NOH 990.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,195.3%
HOU 87, ORL 1020.5,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,195.0%