NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	4.6 [903]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +23.8%
New Orleans Hornets	99		Comeback	1.5 [1222]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): -9.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	0.01	0.06	14	79%	0.19	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	13	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Donte Greene	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.04	0.04	8	65%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jason Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	11	46%	-0.02	5	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.24	0.04	0.05	15	76%	0.26	1	-0.03	15	80%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.02	0.02	8	86%	0.16	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	8	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	14	41%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.02	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	27.4	15.8	29.1	1.8	32.2	131.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +7.7%

NOH +11.5%

NOH +6.5%

NOH +21.7%

NOH +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOH	NBA	SAC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.0	17.6	15.5	100.0	113.8	106.4
season	15.0	16.6		104.0	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.0	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.8	15.0	18.9	12.7	15.0
NOH	19.2	22.1	14.5	15.5	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	12	11	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.03	6	-15	21	14.8	15.0	-0.19	23.9	16.7	7.24
Quincy Douby	6	6	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-10	11	13.3	15.1	-1.79	18.5	17.5	0.98
Bobby Brown	27	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-7	5	16.3	14.4	1.85	17.9	17.5	0.40
Donte Greene	35	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-13	17	13.7	15.8	-2.06	18.1	17.3	0.78
Jason Thompson	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-11	13	14.5	15.7	-1.14	17.0	18.4	-1.41
Francisco Garcia	58	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	14.5	16.0	-1.50	17.8	17.2	0.61
Brad Miller	56	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	1	-11	14.9	15.2	-0.38	16.2	19.7	-3.53
John Salmons	78	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	2	-13	15.4	12.4	2.98	17.6	17.5	0.05
Spencer Hawes	60	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.08	-16	7	-23	15.6	13.8	1.75	18.2	16.4	1.71
Bobby Jackson	66	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	3	-15	15.3	14.2	1.08	17.0	19.5	-2.50

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	65	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-5	19	17.0	19.4	-2.44	15.1	14.7	0.41
Tyson Chandler	66	69	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	0	9	17.4	18.3	-0.92	15.4	13.8	1.61
Devin Brown	39	40	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.01	15	-6	21	18.2	17.1	1.03	16.3	13.9	2.38
Chris Paul	65	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	0	9	16.6	20.4	-3.78	14.9	15.5	-0.60
Rasual Butler	44	47	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	-3	15	18.7	16.4	2.35	15.1	14.9	0.22
James Posey	47	50	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	8	-7	18.0	17.0	0.99	15.6	14.2	1.44
Antonio Daniels	29	28	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	12	-15	18.0	17.4	0.57	13.3	15.8	-2.44
Hilton Armstrong	21	21	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	9	-9	18.3	17.4	0.92	13.8	15.4	-1.61
Morris Peterson	37	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.26	-7	16	-23	16.4	18.5	-2.05	14.1	15.6	-1.51
Sean Marks	22	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	14	-19	19.4	17.0	2.44	14.7	15.1	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 79, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 99, WAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
VAN 98, DEN 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%