inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Vancouver Grizzlies 98 Excitement5.3 [748] MVPRon Mercer (DEN): +16.1%
Denver Nuggets 110 Comeback1.0 [1030] LVPMichael Dickerson (VAN): -15.6%


Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Milt Palacio0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.060.00-0.061647%0.042-0.03667%-0.01
Felipe Lopez0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02772%0.052-0.04475%0.01
Antoine Carr0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dennis Scott-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.02750%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Grant Long-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington-0.020,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.041156%0.034-0.05560%-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.020.001751%0.001-0.031377%0.01
Bryant Reeves-0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.01638%-0.024-0.081100%0.00
Michael Dickerson-0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.050.021641%-0.103-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ron Mercer0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.050.09-0.011762%0.212-0.055100%0.02
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.02267%0.0400.002100%0.01
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.011250%0.0400.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.011162%0.061-0.02450%-0.02
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02855%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Chris Herren0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.01462%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.0200%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.001455%0.034-0.085100%0.03
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.031642%-0.042-0.03862%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.329.515.727.21.831.4130.9
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +31.7%
DEN +1.6%
DEN +4.3%
DEN +8.9%
DEN +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsVANDENNBAVANDENNBA
this game15.914.415.2104.3114.6101.7
season15.914.899.5101.5
opponent15.015.0103.7105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
VAN17.016.016.913.815.9
DEN11.816.013.816.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Milt Palacio15150.05-0.550.60-0.012-141617.715.62.1616.614.02.59
Felipe Lopez3537-0.02-0.480.470.07-3-9614.117.0-2.8716.313.33.02
Antoine Carr46-0.07-0.430.370.02-3-9619.215.83.4814.714.40.27
Grant Long3335-0.23-0.270.05-0.20-1-111017.914.93.0314.414.40.02
Dennis Scott5052-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-7215.916.0-0.0715.113.61.52
Michael Dickerson8080-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.15-6-6015.617.9-2.3714.315.1-0.85
Othella Harrington6463-0.34-0.16-0.180.04-131-1416.714.22.5713.316.5-3.24
Bryant Reeves3434-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.12-8-4-415.915.9-0.0513.614.9-1.28
Shareef Abdur-Rahim7677-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.13-9-3-615.417.9-2.5114.514.30.19
Mike Bibby7981-0.550.05-0.60-0.14-142-1615.617.7-2.1614.016.6-2.59

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ron Mercer70700.51-0.010.530.0416-42014.314.6-0.2716.015.80.17
Nick Van Exel68690.420.080.35-0.0516-42013.915.6-1.7315.417.3-1.91
James Posey53480.390.110.280.2457-214.214.7-0.5517.014.72.30
Antonio McDyess43450.350.150.210.06102812.615.9-3.3217.114.92.21
Popeye Jones65600.240.26-0.010.1348-414.613.90.7115.017.5-2.53
Keon Clark25250.240.26-0.020.1539-614.114.5-0.4618.415.03.44
Raef LaFrentz54560.220.28-0.06-0.0593615.213.41.8815.915.9-0.05
Chris Herren16140.090.41-0.31-0.0248-415.914.11.8217.815.62.20
Bryant Stith15140.090.41-0.33-0.0348-414.514.40.1418.115.52.62
George McCloud39390.010.49-0.490.04-113-1415.613.62.0213.817.4-3.67
Cory Alexander1211-0.020.52-0.530.22-820-2815.214.30.9516.715.80.92
Ryan Bowen2019-0.050.55-0.600.01-214-1614.314.4-0.1512.616.8-4.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 91, TOR 1010.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
NYK 92, NOP 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
CHI 95, MIA 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,195.5%