inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 95 Excitement4.5 [909] MVPQuentin Richardson (MIA): +21.6%
Miami Heat 108 Comeback1.1 [1224] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -12.8%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Johnson0.130,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.150.010.041177%0.151-0.02450%-0.01
Ronald Murray0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.100.000.051168%0.0500.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01075%0.021-0.01475%0.00
Joe Alexander0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brad Miller-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.001551%0.043-0.06580%0.01
Acie Law-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00217%-0.0400.00250%0.00
Taj Gibson-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00757%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Chris Richard-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.0320%-0.033-0.0400%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.011338%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.110.01-0.030.101756%-0.063-0.062100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.240.030.051292%0.2200.0010%-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.090.06-0.021368%0.223-0.051182%0.03
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00375%0.0600.002100%0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.010.06994%0.114-0.0700%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00554%0.0300.003100%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00175%0.0300.00250%-0.00
Daequan Cook00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.120.00-0.021024%-0.072-0.031100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.001650%0.006-0.131267%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.733.316.429.31.733.3143.1
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +38.5%
MIA +2.7%
MIA +1.9%
MIA +3.6%
MIA +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMIANBACHIMIANBA
this game13.617.115.3100.0116.1106.0
season14.716.2101.9104.4
opponent15.415.7102.8103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.314.314.511.113.6
MIA15.718.615.518.617.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Alexander560.00-0.500.51-0.031-14158.613.9-5.2720.216.93.29
Acie Law1314-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-172111.613.9-2.2918.016.91.08
Chris Richard3433-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-161915.212.72.4716.717.3-0.60
Hakim Warrick2322-0.17-0.330.160.03-7-6-111.014.4-3.3617.417.00.42
Taj Gibson5959-0.22-0.280.06-0.10-4-9513.613.60.0517.416.50.97
Jannero Pargo7470-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.11-7-6-113.514.0-0.5317.914.73.18
Ronald Murray4849-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-163-1913.114.1-1.0716.218.1-1.91
Kirk Hinrich6665-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.15-8-5-314.511.62.8816.418.6-2.18
James Johnson8682-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.11-10-3-713.613.60.0417.116.90.20
Brad Miller6765-0.610.11-0.720.00-218-2914.012.51.4916.817.7-0.85

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quentin Richardson62660.50-0.000.51-0.1422-93117.017.2-0.1615.29.95.32
Jermaine O'Neal63650.50-0.000.51-0.0218-52318.115.03.1313.214.5-1.28
Dwyane Wade63640.460.040.42-0.1019-62516.717.9-1.1514.212.41.78
Joel Anthony49520.430.070.370.1794516.118.2-2.0814.512.42.10
Carlos Arroyo69710.340.160.180.25310-717.515.91.6313.813.00.73
Mario Chalmers58570.240.26-0.020.1249-517.117.1-0.0512.515.3-2.83
Jamaal Magloire1090.060.44-0.380.00211-916.517.2-0.6613.013.7-0.65
Udonis Haslem60610.000.50-0.50-0.06211-916.717.8-1.0413.513.7-0.14
Daequan Cook430.000.50-0.500.15-518-2320.216.93.318.713.7-5.08
Yakhouba Diawara430.000.50-0.500.15-518-2320.216.93.318.713.7-5.08
James Jones2324-0.040.54-0.590.07-417-2116.517.3-0.8110.314.7-4.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 73, MIA 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
VAN 98, DEN 1100.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.5%
MIL 82, SAC 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%