NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	73		Excitement	4.2 [959]		MVP	Anthony Carter (MIA): +13.8%
Miami Heat	97		Comeback	1.0 [988]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -17.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	59%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aleksandar Radojevic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	17%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
John Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Stewart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	13	42%	-0.08	2	-0.03	10	50%	-0.03
Vince Carter	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	20	36%	-0.13	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.04	-0.03	11	74%	0.17	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	12	38%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	52%	0.05	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	1	56%	-0.02	5	-0.08	7	43%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	28.2	18.5	30.4	2.5	32.2	139.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +53.8%

TOR -8.9%

MIA +11.2%

TOR -9.5%

MIA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIA	NBA	TOR	MIA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.2	79.3	105.4	101.7
season	15.5	15.7		101.8	101.2
opponent	15.9	14.9		98.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.8	13.4	16.7	15.6	15.8
MIA	14.3	16.0	14.7	17.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aleksandar Radojevic	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-18	12	12.1	16.3	-4.22	13.8	15.7	-1.91
Alvin Williams	17	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.22	-8	-16	8	14.3	16.1	-1.85	16.2	15.3	0.91
Dell Curry	31	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-23	22	15.4	16.0	-0.63	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Dee Brown	30	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-22	20	16.1	15.7	0.39	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Michael Stewart	41	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.14	-11	-13	2	15.0	16.5	-1.45	16.5	14.5	2.02
John Thomas	28	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.24	-15	-9	-6	15.1	16.1	-1.00	15.1	15.7	-0.54
Doug Christie	52	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-14	4	16.0	15.5	0.54	15.1	16.0	-0.88
Vince Carter	58	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-16	8	15.6	16.1	-0.50	16.0	14.5	1.58
Tracy McGrady	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-8	-8	16.6	13.9	2.66	15.8	14.8	1.02
Charles Oakley	51	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	-8	-8	17.8	13.3	4.49	14.5	16.7	-2.19
Antonio Davis	62	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	-6	-12	15.6	16.2	-0.64	15.8	14.9	0.84

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	34	34	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	7	10	15.2	15.7	-0.51	17.7	14.7	2.97
Alonzo Mourning	38	39	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	5	14	15.3	15.6	-0.27	17.3	14.7	2.57
P.J. Brown	35	36	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	6	12	15.9	15.3	0.58	17.7	14.6	3.06
Anthony Carter	56	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	8	8	15.5	15.6	-0.09	16.3	15.0	1.37
Jamal Mashburn	47	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	15	-6	15.6	15.4	0.24	16.2	15.4	0.83
Bruce Bowen	56	56	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.17	11	13	-2	15.3	15.7	-0.41	14.9	17.3	-2.42
Clar. Weatherspoon	42	40	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	25	-26	15.1	15.8	-0.74	15.5	16.0	-0.54
Mark Strickland	44	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.21	10	14	-4	16.6	14.5	2.09	14.3	17.2	-2.89
Otis Thorpe	38	36	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	27	-30	15.3	15.6	-0.27	14.9	16.4	-1.46
Rodney Buford	42	43	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.21	7	17	-10	14.9	16.0	-1.10	15.2	16.3	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, MIA 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIL 82, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DAL 77, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%