NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	127		Excitement	5.4 [744]		MVP	Kelenna Azubuike (GSW): +19.0%
Golden State Warriors	144		Comeback	1.3 [845]		LVP	Jared Jeffries (NYK): -8.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	22	58%	0.11	2	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	20	55%	0.12	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.14	-0.03	0.11	15	71%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	6	67%	0.04	5	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.02	0.01	13	81%	0.19	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	12	72%	0.13	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.23	-0.00	0.13	20	66%	0.10	0	0.00	13	100%	0.03
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	16	47%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	92%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	30.4	16.3	26.9	1.8	31.2	130.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +13.7%

GSW +5.9%

GSW +0.6%

GSW +27.6%

GSW +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	12.9	14.6	15.5	122.1	137.1	106.4
season	13.8	13.8		106.2	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.5		111.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.9	12.9	13.8	12.2	12.9
GSW	12.8	14.8	15.0	15.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	22	21	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-21	25	12.9	13.0	-0.04	12.9	15.0	-2.13
Malik Rose	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	9.5	13.2	-3.73	22.3	13.9	8.45
Anthony Roberson	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	11.4	13.2	-1.78	19.0	13.9	5.07
Jared Jeffries	53	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-17	17	12.8	13.1	-0.23	14.1	15.2	-1.05
Wilson Chandler	69	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-10	3	12.2	14.4	-2.24	14.7	14.4	0.27
Al Harrington	80	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	-4	-9	13.2	12.0	1.23	14.2	15.7	-1.49
Danilo Gallinari	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-7	-3	13.1	12.8	0.30	13.3	15.2	-1.90
Nate Robinson	82	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-6	-5	13.1	12.2	0.96	15.0	13.2	1.71
Chris Duhon	69	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.27	-30	13	-43	13.5	11.9	1.59	13.7	16.5	-2.81
David Lee	90	91	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.03	-22	5	-27	13.2	11.3	1.91	15.0	12.1	2.93

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	93	92	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-2	21	14.4	16.5	-2.13	12.8	14.0	-1.20
Monta Ellis	65	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.12	23	-6	29	14.6	14.6	-0.07	13.5	12.0	1.47
Stephen Jackson	102	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-1	19	14.6	14.0	0.63	13.1	4.5	8.61
Ronny Turiaf	71	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.30	27	-10	37	15.3	13.1	2.21	13.9	10.9	2.97
Kelenna Azubuike	71	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.01	15	2	13	15.6	12.5	3.16	13.3	12.2	1.12
Anthony Randolph	34	34	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.30	-10	27	-37	13.1	15.3	-2.21	10.9	13.9	-2.97
Anthony Morrow	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	14.0	14.6	-0.63	4.5	13.1	-8.61
Corey Maggette	46	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	17	-17	13.5	15.5	-1.94	12.7	13.2	-0.52
CJ Watson	40	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	23	-29	14.6	14.6	0.07	12.0	13.5	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, BOS 117	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHI 99, WAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIA 95, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%