inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 95 Excitement4.4 [948] MVPMichael Redd (MIL): +11.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 121 Comeback1.5 [772] LVPRuben Patterson (MIL): -8.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Doleac0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.00375%0.0600.002100%0.01
Jason Kapono0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.01869%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.01657%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.020.011959%0.073-0.05875%0.01
Earl Barron0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.031100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Robert Hite0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Payton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.00-0.00233%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
James Posey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02617%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.02-0.001250%0.012-0.05250%0.00
Dorell Wright-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.05-0.040.06870%0.022-0.074100%0.00
Jason Williams-0.080,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.00736%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00525%-0.051-0.03250%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.15-0.010.031672%0.183-0.067100%0.02
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.02785%0.131-0.02683%0.02
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.130.020.07880%0.0800.004100%0.02
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.020.00560%0.0600.0000%0.00
David Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Damir Markota0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.14-0.000.161080%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brian Skinner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.011656%0.055-0.10250%-0.00
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.01827%-0.0800.00667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.529.416.327.42.825.2127.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +11.5%
MIL +12.5%
MIL +12.4%
MIL +9.6%
MIL +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMILNBAMIAMILNBA
this game16.114.315.4101.1127.4104.5
season16.015.2102.4105.3
opponent15.515.6109.9104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.314.418.017.916.1
MIL15.117.511.613.414.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kapono48490.01-0.510.510.18-6-201416.415.80.6115.113.51.56
Earl Barron670.00-0.500.50-0.124-303414.716.2-1.5719.913.95.95
Robert Hite670.00-0.500.50-0.124-303414.716.2-1.5719.913.95.95
James Posey5555-0.02-0.480.460.16-6-201416.016.3-0.2514.913.61.25
Michael Doleac2728-0.03-0.470.45-0.061-272814.516.8-2.2716.313.52.80
Antoine Walker5756-0.15-0.350.210.12-9-17815.816.7-0.9814.713.80.98
Gary Payton2625-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-232014.516.8-2.3215.713.91.86
Dwyane Wade7676-0.37-0.13-0.240.42-271-2816.614.42.1613.517.7-4.17
Udonis Haslem5655-0.38-0.12-0.270.44-282-3015.716.8-1.1413.715.2-1.52
Alonzo Mourning3638-0.44-0.06-0.380.12-19-7-1217.615.22.4313.315.0-1.68
Jason Williams3940-0.46-0.04-0.420.13-20-6-1417.814.92.9212.515.7-3.10
Dorell Wright4446-0.500.00-0.50-0.00-17-9-815.716.5-0.7314.214.5-0.34

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mo Williams75740.68-0.180.86-0.4639-135213.517.4-3.9316.614.42.21
Andrew Bogut56570.56-0.060.630.011971213.915.0-1.1516.016.4-0.44
Brian Skinner57570.420.080.33-0.4630-43413.116.3-3.2416.615.51.07
Ruben Patterson47460.400.100.30-0.071610613.615.0-1.4016.016.2-0.19
Michael Redd69690.310.190.12-0.402422213.815.8-1.9615.318.4-3.14
David Noel27260.180.32-0.140.12224-2216.013.72.2617.915.52.41
Charlie Villanueva41420.100.40-0.30-0.311412214.214.4-0.2216.515.90.57
Charlie Bell49490.070.43-0.35-0.19917-814.614.10.5516.216.10.14
Damir Markota760.000.50-0.500.12-430-3419.913.95.9514.716.2-1.57
Ersan Ilyasova760.000.50-0.500.12-430-3419.913.95.9514.716.2-1.57
Dan Gadzuric1716-0.040.54-0.580.02-228-3015.714.11.6516.316.10.21
Steve Blake2322-0.180.68-0.860.20-1339-5217.913.24.6514.616.6-2.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 90, BOS 1080.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
ATL 79, MIA 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
NYK 85, BOS 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%