NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	90		Excitement	5.1 [838]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +7.7%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.6 [892]		LVP	Mark Blount (BOS): -12.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Freije	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	3	25%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	19	40%	-0.08	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.03	14	53%	-0.03	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	4	112%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	13	64%	0.11	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	13	61%	0.09	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	6	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.05	5	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	10	48%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	13	47%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	5	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	30.4	16.5	26.3	2.7	27.5	130.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +24.5%

BOS +16.2%

BOS +20.0%

NOH -14.3%

BOS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	BOS	NBA	NOH	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.5	15.5	92.8	112.5	104.0
season	16.5	14.4		97.7	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.7		104.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.1	14.4	15.7	15.2	15.3
BOS	14.5	14.4	14.3	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Freije	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	17.3	15.2	2.15	15.3	14.5	0.83
Junior Harrington	36	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-14	10	16.5	14.6	1.88	16.0	13.6	2.45
Rodney Rogers	58	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-8	-2	15.5	15.0	0.53	14.1	15.1	-0.97
Dan Dickau	36	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-12	6	16.3	14.7	1.61	15.1	14.2	0.98
Lee Nailon	63	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-11	4	14.7	16.5	-1.82	14.4	14.7	-0.25
Chris Andersen	46	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-12	6	15.7	15.0	0.63	16.2	13.0	3.26
Bostjan Nachbar	40	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-9	0	15.8	15.0	0.82	14.3	14.6	-0.32
Baron Davis	61	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-6	-6	14.7	16.3	-1.61	14.2	15.1	-0.98
J.R. Smith	61	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.02	-14	-4	-10	14.6	16.5	-1.88	13.6	16.0	-2.45
P.J. Brown	78	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.15	-23	5	-28	15.1	16.3	-1.24	13.9	16.9	-3.07

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	65	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	2	14	14.2	15.3	-1.14	15.0	16.1	-1.18
Tony Allen	39	39	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.07	16	2	14	14.8	14.3	0.50	16.7	14.4	2.30
Raef LaFrentz	60	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	4	10	14.1	15.2	-1.12	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Jiri Welsch	77	77	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	9	0	14.1	16.1	-1.91	15.2	15.9	-0.79
Al Jefferson	39	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	6	6	15.1	14.1	0.98	16.3	14.6	1.75
Marcus Banks	48	47	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	13	-8	14.9	14.1	0.75	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Walter McCarty	20	21	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.21	14	4	10	13.6	14.8	-1.16	15.6	15.2	0.32
Mark Blount	58	59	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	16	-14	14.3	14.9	-0.66	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Ricky Davis	59	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.09	8	10	-2	14.9	13.9	1.02	15.1	15.7	-0.68
Kendrick Perkins	15	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	24	-30	16.9	14.1	2.86	17.0	15.0	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 79, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MIA 95, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
ATL 74, MIL 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.5%