NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	79		Excitement	5.0 [808]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (MIA): +9.7%
Miami Heat	101		Comeback	1.4 [941]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): -23.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	18	43%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Isaiah Rider	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	22	27%	-0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	11	20%	-0.17	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.05

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	19	62%	0.13	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.01	0.07	9	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.07
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	7	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.01	11	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	18	48%	-0.03	3	-0.09	6	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	28.8	18.6	30.2	3.4	29.5	138.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +62.2%

ATL -8.7%

ATL -6.4%

MIA +2.7%

MIA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	16.6	14.8	15.2	86.8	109.8	101.7
season	15.4	15.7		99.3	101.2
opponent	15.9	15.2		98.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.7	17.0	16.3	15.7	16.6
MIA	15.8	15.1	13.8	14.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-22	22	6.8	17.2	-10.42	17.2	14.7	2.49
Anthony Johnson	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.21	-8	-14	6	14.8	16.9	-2.08	13.8	15.0	-1.16
Chris Crawford	15	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-22	22	16.6	16.7	-0.06	14.6	14.9	-0.23
Lorenzen Wright	21	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-17	12	15.6	17.0	-1.34	15.8	14.6	1.20
LaPhonso Ellis	45	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-15	8	16.6	16.7	-0.18	15.3	14.4	0.97
Jason Terry	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-14	6	16.2	16.9	-0.76	14.3	15.1	-0.85
Bimbo Coles	59	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	-8	-6	16.9	16.2	0.76	15.1	14.3	0.85
Alan Henderson	54	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.20	-18	-4	-14	17.4	15.6	1.82	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Jim Jackson	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-6	-10	16.9	15.8	1.09	14.5	15.9	-1.41
Dikembe Mutombo	70	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-5	-12	17.0	15.6	1.34	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Isaiah Rider	74	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	-5	-12	16.9	15.8	1.09	15.0	14.2	0.71

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otis Thorpe	47	46	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.13	23	-1	24	14.1	15.6	-1.49	15.7	17.6	-1.97
Jamal Mashburn	73	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	4	14	15.0	14.3	0.72	17.0	15.5	1.41
Anthony Carter	48	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	4	14	14.7	15.0	-0.31	16.4	16.9	-0.43
Dan Majerle	54	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	15	-8	14.7	15.0	-0.32	16.1	17.4	-1.24
Alonzo Mourning	50	50	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	14	-6	14.8	14.9	-0.12	17.1	16.0	1.09
Voshon Lenard	46	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	8	6	14.7	15.0	-0.33	17.5	15.7	1.80
Clar. Weatherspoon	48	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	15	-8	15.0	14.7	0.34	17.7	15.4	2.33
Tim Hardaway	50	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	15	-8	14.9	14.8	0.09	17.1	16.1	1.05
P.J. Brown	23	23	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	17	-12	15.6	14.6	0.97	17.4	16.4	0.99
Rex Walters	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	16.6	14.7	1.86	6.8	17.2	-10.42
Duane Causwell	16	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	21	-20	15.6	14.7	0.95	13.3	17.3	-3.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 88, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NOH 90, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
CHH 87, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.9%