inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 79 Excitement5.0 [808] MVPJamal Mashburn (MIA): +9.7%
Miami Heat 101 Comeback1.4 [941] LVPDikembe Mutombo (ATL): -23.2%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Crawford0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.002100%0.01
LaPhonso Ellis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02945%0.0000.00450%-0.02
Cal Bowdler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01250%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02325%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Bimbo Coles-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01744%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jason Terry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.00933%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.020.021150%-0.041-0.036100%0.02
Jim Jackson-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.08-0.031843%-0.081-0.03683%0.02
Isaiah Rider-0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.15-0.07-0.022227%-0.161-0.0400%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo-0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.22-0.05-0.041120%-0.172-0.06850%-0.05

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.01-0.021962%0.132-0.04786%0.01
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.02-0.01667%0.062-0.02367%-0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.043100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rex Walters00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duane Causwell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.060.010.07967%-0.0000.0030%-0.07
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.020.03762%-0.0200.00771%-0.02
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.010.011136%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Dan Majerle0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.040.001848%-0.033-0.09633%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.628.818.630.23.429.5138.4
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +62.2%
ATL -8.7%
ATL -6.4%
MIA +2.7%
MIA +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game16.614.815.286.8109.8101.7
season15.415.799.3101.2
opponent15.915.298.2105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL17.717.016.315.716.6
MIA15.815.113.814.914.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cal Bowdler560.00-0.500.500.000-22226.817.2-10.4217.214.72.49
Anthony Johnson1010-0.02-0.480.450.21-8-14614.816.9-2.0813.815.0-1.16
Chris Crawford1514-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-222216.616.7-0.0614.614.9-0.23
Lorenzen Wright2121-0.07-0.430.360.08-5-171215.617.0-1.3415.814.61.20
LaPhonso Ellis4544-0.22-0.280.06-0.01-7-15816.616.7-0.1815.314.40.97
Jason Terry3232-0.23-0.270.050.01-8-14616.216.9-0.7614.315.1-0.85
Bimbo Coles5960-0.27-0.23-0.050.14-14-8-616.916.20.7615.114.30.85
Alan Henderson5456-0.33-0.17-0.150.20-18-4-1417.415.61.8214.715.1-0.40
Jim Jackson7070-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-16-6-1016.915.81.0914.515.9-1.41
Dikembe Mutombo7071-0.43-0.07-0.360.07-17-5-1217.015.61.3414.615.8-1.20
Isaiah Rider7476-0.520.02-0.53-0.02-17-5-1216.915.81.0915.014.20.71

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Otis Thorpe47460.55-0.050.60-0.1323-12414.115.6-1.4915.717.6-1.97
Jamal Mashburn73710.51-0.010.52-0.021841415.014.30.7217.015.51.41
Anthony Carter48490.370.130.23-0.161841414.715.0-0.3116.416.9-0.43
Dan Majerle54520.260.240.020.06715-814.715.0-0.3216.117.4-1.24
Alonzo Mourning50500.250.250.010.02814-614.814.9-0.1217.116.01.09
Voshon Lenard46480.220.28-0.06-0.19148614.715.0-0.3317.515.71.80
Clar. Weatherspoon48480.150.35-0.20-0.05715-815.014.70.3417.715.42.33
Tim Hardaway50480.140.36-0.22-0.06715-814.914.80.0917.116.11.05
P.J. Brown23230.060.44-0.37-0.08517-1215.614.60.9717.416.40.99
Rex Walters550.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1816.614.71.866.817.2-10.42
Duane Causwell1615-0.020.52-0.53-0.05121-2015.614.70.9513.317.3-3.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 88, SAS 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.2%
NOH 90, BOS 1080.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
CHH 87, ORL 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,194.9%