NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	83		Excitement	4.7 [877]		MVP	Kyle O'Quinn (ORL): +9.2%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.1 [963]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -11.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	4	82%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Victor Oladipo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.06	7	78%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	86%	0.11	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	60%	0.06	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.05	12	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	10	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	11	46%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	112%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.01	0.08	15	67%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shayne Whittington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	17	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	8	28%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	27.8	15.7	23.8	1.0	26.3	121.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +6.4%

ORL -2.1%

IND +26.3%

IND +19.8%

ORL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	16.0	15.1	88.3	101.0	104.2
season	14.9	16.0		100.4	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.3		102.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.0	12.2	15.2	15.7	14.2
IND	13.2	16.6	17.4	17.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	51	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-15	15	13.9	14.4	-0.50	16.2	15.7	0.51
Andrew Nicholson	5	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-11	7	15.6	14.1	1.51	11.2	16.2	-5.02
Ben Gordon	35	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-13	11	13.4	14.6	-1.18	16.8	15.4	1.41
Kyle O'Quinn	23	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-12	9	14.5	14.1	0.47	15.9	16.0	-0.10
Evan Fournier	67	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-7	-1	14.1	14.2	-0.07	15.7	16.5	-0.72
Channing Frye	70	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-14	13	13.9	14.8	-0.89	16.4	14.6	1.83
Victor Oladipo	63	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-4	-7	14.0	14.5	-0.42	15.6	16.6	-0.98
Willie Green	24	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.09	-14	-1	-13	15.7	13.6	2.12	15.0	16.3	-1.26
Nikola Vucevic	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-3	-9	14.1	14.5	-0.47	16.0	15.9	0.10
Tobias Harris	61	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.01	-20	5	-25	14.5	13.6	0.87	16.1	15.8	0.30

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	57	54	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	3	9	15.8	16.2	-0.41	13.9	14.5	-0.57
Rodney Stuckey	61	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	1	13	15.3	17.1	-1.83	14.3	14.0	0.23
Solomon Hill	59	58	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	3	9	16.9	14.5	2.36	14.2	14.1	0.19
CJ Miles	44	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	10	-5	15.7	16.2	-0.51	14.1	14.2	-0.04
CJ Watson	35	35	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	7	1	16.2	15.8	0.33	14.9	13.8	1.09
Ian Mahinmi	38	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	10	-5	16.3	15.7	0.63	15.1	13.5	1.61
David West	49	49	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.13	13	2	11	15.8	16.1	-0.25	14.1	14.2	-0.10
Donald Sloan	62	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	8	-1	15.8	16.2	-0.33	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Luis Scola	45	42	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	14	-13	16.1	15.8	0.28	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Chris Copeland	31	31	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	16	-17	15.4	16.2	-0.79	13.5	14.5	-1.07
Shayne Whittington	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	18.5	15.8	2.65	16.0	14.1	1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHI 90, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ORL 78, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	95.0%