NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	5.3 [738]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +14.6%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.2 [849]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -12.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	15	73%	0.14	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Scott Williams	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mark Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	12	52%	-0.05	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	13	54%	-0.02	5	-0.11	13	62%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	13	77%	0.20	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.05
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.01	0.05	17	63%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	20	52%	0.03	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.04
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.8	30.2	15.6	29.6	1.8	28.0	133.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +39.0%

PHI -9.9%

BOS +9.3%

BOS +10.0%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	15.6	94.7	113.7	102.5
season	15.4	15.1		99.7	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	15.6	12.7	14.7	14.5
BOS	13.4	20.4	14.5	15.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-17	16	15.0	14.5	0.54	17.1	15.6	1.47
Mark Davis	17	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.19	-10	-8	-2	14.8	14.5	0.36	17.1	15.5	1.63
Aaron McKie	69	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-12	6	14.2	15.4	-1.18	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Tim Thomas	52	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-14	10	14.3	14.8	-0.44	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Brian Shaw	54	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-3	-12	14.3	14.8	-0.53	15.7	16.0	-0.32
Allen Iverson	78	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-10	2	14.8	13.2	1.57	15.7	16.3	-0.57
Scott Williams	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-4	-10	14.6	14.4	0.20	15.2	16.7	-1.51
Eric Snow	50	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.17	-19	1	-20	14.7	14.3	0.41	16.6	14.9	1.66
Theo Ratliff	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	-5	-8	14.5	14.6	-0.12	15.5	18.0	-2.47

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dana Barros	76	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.03	20	-2	22	16.0	15.1	0.92	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Bruce Bowen	60	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.13	23	-5	28	14.0	18.8	-4.72	14.9	13.9	0.96
Ron Mercer	86	84	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	3	12	15.7	17.1	-1.46	14.8	12.6	2.14
Andrew DeClercq	50	49	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	-1	20	16.6	14.9	1.63	15.6	13.4	2.20
Walter McCarty	46	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	10	-2	16.5	15.1	1.34	14.4	14.6	-0.16
Antoine Walker	78	77	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	11	-4	16.3	13.4	2.90	14.3	15.4	-1.13
Travis Knight	45	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	19	-20	14.9	16.6	-1.63	13.4	15.6	-2.20
Kenny Anderson	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.02	-1	19	-20	16.4	15.7	0.72	15.7	14.4	1.34
Greg Minor	15	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	17	-16	18.7	15.2	3.50	13.2	14.8	-1.61
Tyus Edney	10	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	19	-20	13.8	16.0	-2.22	16.3	14.3	2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
GSW 83, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
ORL 83, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%