NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	83		Excitement	4.5 [730]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +5.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	1.2 [899]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -7.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	19	52%	0.04	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Charles Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	9	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.04	7	62%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Klay Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	41%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	22	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	72%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.18	-0.00	0.15	15	74%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	0.00	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	47%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.8	30.2	17.7	25.2	3.3	27.6	128.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.1%

PHI +2.4%

PHI +18.0%

PHI +0.5%

GSW -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.6	90.2	115.4	102.8
season	15.2	15.6		103.6	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.4		97.6	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.6	14.0	16.0	14.8	15.1
PHI	13.8	16.0	16.7	19.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wright	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.18	-6	-16	10	12.2	15.3	-3.08	17.2	16.3	0.92
Charles Jenkins	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-18	14	13.7	15.2	-1.42	17.2	16.3	0.92
Ekpe Udoh	38	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-22	22	14.7	15.4	-0.77	14.8	17.4	-2.64
Dorell Wright	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-18	14	15.2	15.1	0.09	17.0	15.7	1.38
Brandon Rush	62	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	-9	-4	14.4	16.6	-2.26	17.1	14.8	2.30
Nate Robinson	35	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-8	-6	15.2	15.0	0.19	15.2	17.1	-1.86
Klay Thompson	40	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.17	-14	-8	-6	14.2	15.8	-1.61	18.1	15.1	3.03
Andris Biedrins	23	22	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-9	-4	17.3	14.4	2.99	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Monta Ellis	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	-8	-6	15.3	14.5	0.71	16.7	15.2	1.54
Dominic McGuire	58	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	-6	-10	15.8	13.9	1.95	15.1	18.4	-3.29
David Lee	77	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-10	-2	15.2	14.5	0.69	16.6	14.8	1.77

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.22	24	-2	26	16.4	16.4	0.02	15.2	14.5	0.77
Elton Brand	64	63	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	9	4	16.3	16.4	-0.10	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Andre Iguodala	73	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	8	6	16.8	14.6	2.27	15.0	15.6	-0.66
Evan Turner	32	33	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	10	2	15.3	16.9	-1.59	16.0	14.6	1.39
Lavoy Allen	40	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	16	-10	15.1	17.4	-2.23	15.8	14.6	1.24
Thaddeus Young	51	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	8	6	17.4	15.1	2.23	14.7	15.6	-0.82
Jodie Meeks	40	42	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	17	-12	14.8	17.6	-2.72	15.4	14.9	0.46
Louis Williams	51	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.22	13	9	4	17.6	14.8	2.72	14.2	16.3	-2.15
Nikola Vucevic	27	29	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.11	9	13	-4	16.4	16.3	0.10	15.6	14.9	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DEN 88, MIN 107	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DAL 103, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	95.4%