NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	5.3 [768]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): +13.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	1.2 [1002]		LVP	Deron Williams (DAL): -15.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.00	0.04	15	73%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
David Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06	0.07	-0.04	0.09	16	64%	0.00	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.05	0.05	12	54%	-0.04	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	15	34%	-0.09	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	7	89%	0.17	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	14	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	12	36%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	19	63%	0.08	7	-0.14	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.5	15.4	22.4	2.4	38.2	135.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +22.8%

POR +11.0%

POR +1.7%

POR +8.1%

POR +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	14.6	14.9	100.0	107.9	105.1
season	15.5	15.0		105.0	107.1
opponent	14.6	14.7		106.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	13.8	15.0	12.1	13.7
POR	13.7	14.5	15.7	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	14	12	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-7	8	12.9	13.8	-0.94	13.2	14.8	-1.50
Devin Harris	43	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-3	0	13.8	13.6	0.25	13.7	15.2	-1.55
Charlie Villanueva	20	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	1	-8	15.2	13.3	1.90	12.7	15.0	-2.34
David Lee	28	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	14.2	13.5	0.70	14.6	14.6	0.03
Salah Mejri	62	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-10	14	13.4	14.1	-0.71	15.7	12.8	2.94
Jose Juan Barea	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-10	14	12.5	15.0	-2.57	15.0	14.1	0.95
Dirk Nowitzki	81	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-6	6	13.4	14.5	-1.11	14.3	15.6	-1.36
Raymond Felton	44	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	9	-24	15.1	12.6	2.44	13.5	15.3	-1.84
Deron Williams	83	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	13.5	14.5	-1.09	14.9	13.0	1.94
Wesley Matthews	85	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-2	-2	13.9	12.6	1.28	15.0	12.3	2.71

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	79	81	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-2	10	14.8	13.9	0.91	13.4	14.5	-1.11
Maurice Harkless	56	53	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-6	18	13.7	15.7	-2.05	14.4	12.9	1.54
Damian Lillard	81	82	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.30	2	4	-2	14.3	15.5	-1.22	13.4	14.8	-1.43
Mason Plumlee	55	56	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	4	-2	15.2	13.8	1.41	13.8	13.5	0.33
Gerald Henderson	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.16	4	2	2	14.9	14.2	0.67	13.9	13.4	0.49
Al-Farouq Aminu	78	81	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	8	-10	14.3	15.4	-1.11	13.3	15.0	-1.75
Ed Davis	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	2	2	14.7	14.5	0.13	14.1	13.3	0.77
Allen Crabbe	41	45	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	6	-6	14.6	14.6	0.02	13.2	14.1	-0.91
Noah Vonleh	6	6	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	1	4	11.0	14.8	-3.80	19.3	13.3	6.01
Brian Roberts	17	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	11	-16	16.9	14.1	2.85	12.7	13.9	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CLE 93, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
GSW 83, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%