NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	4.9 [826]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +11.6%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	1.2 [1259]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -16.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	16	62%	0.11	2	-0.06	16	87%	0.04
Michael Stewart	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.16	-0.00	-0.10	8	6%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Smush Parker	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	0.00	-0.04	0.10	11	62%	-0.07	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.20	-0.03	-0.07	14	34%	-0.07	6	-0.09	4	25%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	12	72%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	14	70%	0.14	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	16	57%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	0.07	9	56%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	28.2	15.6	25.2	2.4	30.6	128.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +49.1%

DAL +7.1%

CLE -14.8%

DAL +9.6%

CLE -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DAL	NBA	CLE	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	13.5	15.5	90.3	114.0	101.6
season	15.1	15.1		94.6	108.6
opponent	15.3	14.9		102.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.6	14.0	18.1	14.0	14.8
DAL	14.1	11.2	13.8	15.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	31	31	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-26	31	12.9	15.6	-2.70	14.0	13.3	0.63
Chris Mihm	39	40	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-20	19	13.9	15.4	-1.41	12.9	13.9	-1.01
Michael Stewart	15	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-17	13	14.4	14.9	-0.50	15.6	13.1	2.42
Jumaine Jones	45	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.18	-10	-11	1	14.2	15.3	-1.11	13.4	13.6	-0.16
Milt Palacio	68	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-9	-3	15.0	14.5	0.47	13.4	13.8	-0.34
Smush Parker	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-16	11	14.6	15.0	-0.46	14.1	13.1	1.07
Darius Miles	61	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	-7	-7	15.2	14.3	0.91	13.7	13.3	0.38
Ricky Davis	87	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.26	-24	3	-27	14.9	14.6	0.31	13.0	15.9	-2.88
Carlos Boozer	54	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	-7	-7	15.6	14.0	1.65	13.7	13.3	0.40
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	72	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.22	-26	5	-31	15.6	12.9	2.70	13.3	14.0	-0.63

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	60	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.27	25	-4	29	12.5	15.0	-2.49	16.1	12.6	3.52
Dirk Nowitzki	69	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.20	22	-1	23	12.6	15.7	-3.11	15.0	14.3	0.72
Raef LaFrentz	43	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	10	1	14.0	13.2	0.82	16.9	13.1	3.81
Raja Bell	46	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	8	5	14.2	13.0	1.23	14.2	15.3	-1.09
Nick Van Exel	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	7	7	14.4	12.7	1.72	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Eduardo Najera	50	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.26	17	4	13	12.6	14.4	-1.82	14.7	14.9	-0.24
Adrian Griffin	34	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	16	-11	12.3	14.2	-1.87	14.2	15.1	-0.95
Walt Williams	28	25	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	21	-21	16.1	12.5	3.63	13.6	15.2	-1.67
Shawn Bradley	18	17	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.17	8	13	-5	14.5	13.3	1.18	14.9	14.8	0.14
Michael Finley	53	55	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	20	-19	12.6	14.6	-2.05	14.0	15.7	-1.69
Popeye Jones	25	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	26	-31	16.4	12.6	3.77	12.9	15.4	-2.52
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	23	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	27	-33	14.0	13.4	0.55	14.8	14.8	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 88, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAL 98, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAL 77, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%