NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	5.3 [782]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +19.2%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	1.3 [1293]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -15.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	12	60%	0.15	3	-0.07	11	91%	0.03
D'Angelo Russell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.01	-0.08	16	44%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	56%	0.00	1	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.03	17	59%	0.06	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.01
Tarik Black	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	46%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.06
Julius Randle	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	14	50%	-0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	15	27%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.00	18	72%	0.26	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	8	77%	0.12	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.02	7	83%	0.11	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.04	4	80%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	7	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.03	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	39%	-0.01	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	28.7	17.6	29.1	2.8	28.2	132.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +34.8%

GSW +8.6%

LAL -6.2%

GSW +13.6%

LAL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	12.9	14.9	94.2	110.5	105.1
season	15.2	13.7		100.1	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.5		102.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	15.1	16.5	12.0	14.7
GSW	12.0	13.7	11.6	14.1	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-14	10	11.5	15.3	-3.77	13.8	12.7	1.10
Kobe Bryant	59	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-7	-4	15.6	13.5	2.08	12.1	13.8	-1.73
D'Angelo Russell	62	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-11	4	13.8	16.0	-2.19	14.4	10.6	3.80
Roy Hibbert	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-12	6	15.7	13.9	1.88	11.7	13.8	-2.12
Larry Nance Jr.	51	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-15	12	15.2	14.2	0.99	11.6	14.0	-2.39
Tarik Black	33	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-7	-4	15.3	14.4	0.89	13.7	12.5	1.18
Julius Randle	62	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-6	-6	14.0	15.7	-1.71	14.0	11.0	3.00
Jordan Clarkson	79	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-9	0	14.2	16.1	-1.88	12.8	13.0	-0.16
Anthony Brown	45	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-11	4	13.5	15.6	-2.08	13.8	12.1	1.73
Lou Williams	67	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.07	-20	2	-22	16.0	12.2	3.80	11.5	15.3	-3.78

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	65	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	4	10	11.4	15.2	-3.79	15.9	12.7	3.20
Andrew Bogut	48	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	7	4	11.7	13.8	-2.07	15.6	13.9	1.70
Klay Thompson	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	8	2	12.0	14.0	-1.96	15.8	13.2	2.55
Draymond Green	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	10	-2	11.8	14.2	-2.34	15.7	13.4	2.28
Harrison Barnes	63	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	8	2	13.4	12.1	1.34	14.0	15.7	-1.63
Andre Iguodala	47	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	12	-6	14.1	11.9	2.23	15.3	14.2	1.05
Brandon Rush	46	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	10	-2	12.0	13.5	-1.48	14.0	15.2	-1.16
Shaun Livingston	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	13	-8	14.0	12.2	1.77	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Festus Ezeli	44	42	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	10	-2	14.2	11.9	2.36	13.4	15.6	-2.16
Leandro Barbosa	45	44	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	13	-8	14.7	11.5	3.21	13.0	15.9	-2.97
Ian Clark	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	13	-8	14.6	12.7	1.97	9.9	15.2	-5.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAL 97, PHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
WAS 79, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%