NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	79		Excitement	4.9 [841]		MVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): +8.0%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.2 [1122]		LVP	Jahidi White (WAS): -13.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	65%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	6	62%	0.03	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	46%	-0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Nesby	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	12	24%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	11	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	12	83%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	5	20%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	4	44%	-0.03	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.08	0	0.00	10	70%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	61%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	49%	-0.03	1	-0.02	11	64%	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.7	26.2	15.8	26.2	2.4	29.5	128.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.8%

WAS -6.9%

UTA +5.3%

UTA +1.4%

UTA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	87.8	104.4	102.3
season	16.5	16.1		102.2	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.3		101.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.6	16.9	16.2	15.2	16.2
UTA	15.4	18.2	13.8	16.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Nesby	44	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-18	21	15.9	16.5	-0.57	15.8	15.7	0.08
Chris Whitney	37	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-14	13	16.5	16.1	0.40	15.8	15.8	-0.04
Christian Laettner	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-13	11	16.5	15.9	0.59	16.3	15.2	1.10
Jahidi White	31	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-7	-1	16.6	16.0	0.65	16.3	15.5	0.84
Brendan Haywood	30	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-13	11	16.3	16.2	0.07	15.2	16.1	-0.89
Kwame Brown	19	17	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-5	-5	16.3	16.2	0.12	17.1	15.5	1.58
Popeye Jones	56	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-7	-1	15.7	17.1	-1.39	15.0	17.1	-2.12
Richard Hamilton	64	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	16.6	15.2	1.39	16.7	13.9	2.83
Courtney Alexander	29	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	0	-15	18.0	15.4	2.62	15.6	15.8	-0.22
Tyronn Lue	54	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-3	-9	15.9	16.8	-0.93	15.5	16.2	-0.69

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	38	38	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	2	11	16.1	15.5	0.57	16.6	15.9	0.66
Karl Malone	69	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	2	11	15.2	17.7	-2.53	15.7	17.7	-1.92
Bryon Russell	55	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	-3	21	15.6	16.0	-0.41	17.1	14.8	2.25
DeShawn Stevenson	24	23	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	6	3	14.6	16.2	-1.57	15.2	16.6	-1.35
Andrei Kirilenko	49	49	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	6	3	15.8	15.8	-0.05	16.0	16.5	-0.58
John Stockton	57	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	10	-5	16.8	13.9	2.90	15.6	17.2	-1.61
Donyell Marshall	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	11	-7	15.9	15.6	0.29	16.5	16.0	0.47
Scott Padgett	31	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	16	-17	17.6	14.8	2.80	16.1	16.3	-0.21
John Starks	33	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	7	1	14.5	16.5	-1.99	16.2	16.2	-0.05
Jarron Collins	35	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	17	-19	15.7	15.8	-0.06	16.4	16.1	0.29
Rusty LaRue	16	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	16	-17	14.8	16.0	-1.17	17.9	15.8	2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, PHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
TOR 80, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.66,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CLE 78, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%