NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	80		Excitement	4.4 [962]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +13.7%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	1.3 [1258]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -13.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	10	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	9	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ed Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	9	39%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	6	82%	0.16	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.05	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	8	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	11	58%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	53%	0.01	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.3	26.6	14.7	25.0	1.8	29.2	124.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +16.0%

SAS +16.9%

SAS +6.3%

SAS +5.6%

SAS +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAS	NBA	TOR	SAS	NBA
this game	16.7	14.8	15.4	87.9	108.7	104.1
season	16.1	15.2		104.4	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		99.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.4	17.0	16.8	15.8	16.7
SAS	15.4	17.3	13.2	13.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	22	23	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-21	22	18.0	16.3	1.71	14.2	15.0	-0.75
Landry Fields	35	36	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	-19	18	15.1	17.7	-2.68	15.9	14.1	1.77
Quincy Acy	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-17	14	9.7	17.3	-7.57	15.1	14.8	0.39
Ed Davis	46	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-14	8	19.0	14.3	4.73	15.0	14.6	0.43
Aaron Gray	38	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-14	8	16.6	16.8	-0.17	15.4	14.3	1.05
Terrence Ross	50	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-12	4	15.8	17.9	-2.09	15.1	14.5	0.61
John Lucas III	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-7	-6	15.7	17.5	-1.83	15.3	14.4	0.87
Linas Kleiza	31	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-11	2	15.3	17.4	-2.09	15.2	14.6	0.57
Jose Calderon	51	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-13	6	17.5	15.7	1.83	14.4	15.3	-0.87
Amir Johnson	46	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-9	-2	16.2	17.2	-0.98	14.6	15.0	-0.44
Alan Anderson	37	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-5	-10	17.5	16.2	1.27	13.6	15.6	-1.96
DeMar DeRozan	52	52	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.04	-22	2	-24	17.8	15.2	2.62	14.1	15.6	-1.49

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	51	51	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.07	23	-3	26	14.1	15.6	-1.49	17.6	15.6	2.01
Tony Parker	54	53	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	2	16	14.5	15.2	-0.77	18.1	14.8	3.29
Tim Duncan	50	49	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	3	14	14.5	15.1	-0.58	18.1	15.0	3.12
Kawhi Leonard	46	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	3	14	13.3	16.2	-2.87	18.1	15.2	2.88
Boris Diaw	42	44	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	9	2	15.2	14.4	0.75	16.5	16.9	-0.39
Matt Bonner	22	21	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	12	-4	15.2	14.7	0.52	15.0	17.2	-2.28
Tiago Splitter	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.16	11	9	2	13.3	15.9	-2.56	17.5	16.1	1.37
Nando De Colo	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	18	-16	15.2	14.5	0.77	14.8	18.1	-3.29
Patty Mills	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	15.6	14.7	0.92	11.3	17.4	-6.18
Danny Green	38	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	21	-22	16.8	13.4	3.46	17.1	16.4	0.64
DeJuan Blair	20	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	23	-26	14.3	14.9	-0.62	14.6	17.2	-2.61
Stephen Jackson	48	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	24	-28	16.2	13.2	2.94	14.9	18.5	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.66,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 78, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
WAS 79, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
LAL 97, PHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%