NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	77		Excitement	4.6 [902]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +17.5%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.5 [877]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -22.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	9	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Andrew Bynum	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	48%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	9	43%	0.04	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.06	5	65%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	18	44%	-0.03	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.01	10	85%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.03	19	53%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.03	20	52%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	0.05	11	55%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.17	-0.06	-0.01	16	24%	-0.16	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	28.2	16.0	25.1	2.3	29.1	125.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.9%

LAL -10.8%

HOU +16.2%

HOU +2.8%

LAL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	16.3	15.4	84.6	113.3	104.5
season	15.3	15.6		106.3	103.6
opponent	15.7	14.9		99.2	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.9	15.4	16.7	14.3	15.5
HOU	16.9	14.6	16.0	17.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	36	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-25	25	15.9	15.3	0.69	16.6	16.1	0.45
Jordan Farmar	37	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.29	-14	-11	-3	14.4	16.3	-1.94	16.6	16.1	0.56
Vladimir Radmanovic	35	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.14	-11	-14	3	15.5	15.5	-0.02	17.6	15.6	2.01
Smush Parker	54	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-19	13	16.3	14.4	1.98	16.5	16.0	0.56
Andrew Bynum	53	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-18	11	16.3	14.5	1.81	16.3	16.2	0.08
Sasha Vujacic	14	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-13	1	13.1	16.0	-2.90	17.9	16.0	1.84
Ronny Turiaf	38	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.23	-18	-7	-11	14.5	16.3	-1.81	16.2	16.3	-0.08
Maurice Evans	56	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.32	-23	-2	-21	14.7	16.8	-2.11	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Luke Walton	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-8	-9	16.1	14.1	2.00	15.7	18.0	-2.37
Kobe Bryant	66	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	-8	-9	16.0	14.4	1.55	15.5	18.5	-2.94

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	70	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.10	24	1	23	15.3	19.9	-4.63	16.1	13.6	2.41
Rafer Alston	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	8	9	15.6	18.5	-2.93	16.0	14.2	1.79
Tracy McGrady	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.06	16	9	7	16.7	15.3	1.43	16.5	13.3	3.12
Dikembe Mutombo	63	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	8	9	17.1	14.5	2.60	16.5	13.5	3.02
Luther Head	66	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.29	21	4	17	15.6	18.3	-2.77	14.8	17.4	-2.64
Shane Battier	49	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	18	-11	16.6	16.0	0.64	15.5	15.6	-0.15
John Lucas III	21	22	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.21	12	13	-1	18.3	15.7	2.65	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Charles Hayes	34	35	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.31	14	11	3	16.3	16.3	-0.06	14.6	16.1	-1.55
Vassilis Spanoulis	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	20.0	16.1	3.87	10.6	15.8	-5.21
Scott Padgett	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	20.7	16.1	4.52	9.2	15.8	-6.57
Kirk Snyder	0	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	25	-25	0.0	16.3	-16.30	22.0	15.5	6.54
Steve Novak	10	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	29	-33	17.4	16.2	1.24	11.9	16.0	-4.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DAL 94, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHX 88, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%