NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	4.7 [855]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +10.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	1.3 [1181]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -13.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	12	60%	0.10	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.05	6	92%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	13	56%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.12	9	83%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	16	37%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.03	9	94%	0.18	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.02	0.05	12	65%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	-0.01	1	-0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	16	49%	0.03	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	26.7	16.4	24.2	2.4	27.3	122.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +36.0%

POR +1.4%

POR +15.6%

DAL -4.6%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	17.6	15.2	109.3	123.0	101.7
season	14.8	15.9		104.2	105.9
opponent	15.7	14.8		99.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.7	15.8	16.0	16.1	15.7
POR	19.6	16.2	15.3	19.9	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	21	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-14	15	13.5	16.4	-2.88	20.4	16.6	3.81
Hubert Davis	54	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-11	9	15.6	15.7	-0.11	16.4	19.6	-3.21
Greg Buckner	29	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-15	17	13.8	16.6	-2.86	19.3	16.7	2.58
Damon Jones	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-6	-1	15.3	16.0	-0.69	19.8	15.7	4.02
Shawn Bradley	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	16.1	14.8	1.29	16.7	19.2	-2.41
Erick Strickland	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-2	-9	15.4	16.0	-0.59	17.8	17.4	0.36
Dirk Nowitzki	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-4	-5	16.2	13.8	2.32	16.6	21.1	-4.50
Cedric Ceballos	53	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.03	-15	2	-17	15.9	15.2	0.76	18.8	15.7	3.07
Michael Finley	64	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	2	-17	16.5	13.2	3.32	16.2	21.3	-5.11

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	64	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	-2	17	16.1	22.0	-5.88	16.5	13.3	3.26
Scottie Pippen	61	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	7	-1	17.1	18.8	-1.62	15.8	15.3	0.44
Damon Stoudamire	62	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	4	5	16.7	20.0	-3.32	15.3	16.4	-1.05
Brian Grant	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	5	3	16.9	18.9	-1.92	15.9	15.3	0.59
Rasheed Wallace	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	6	1	15.8	20.6	-4.79	15.7	15.6	0.12
Stacey Augmon	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	7	-1	20.6	15.8	4.79	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Detlef Schrempf	33	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	7	-1	20.6	15.8	4.79	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Bonzi Wells	32	32	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	8	-3	19.0	16.8	2.16	15.2	15.9	-0.74
Greg Anthony	25	26	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	9	-5	20.0	16.7	3.32	16.4	15.3	1.05
Jermaine O'Neal	15	14	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	14	-15	19.3	17.3	2.06	11.6	16.4	-4.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 77, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
BOS 93, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
ATL 79, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%