inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 92 Excitement4.6 [886] MVPRasheed Wallace (BOS): +13.9%
Orlando Magic 113 Comeback1.3 [901] LVPRay Allen (BOS): -7.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.190.010.06995%0.171-0.034100%0.02
Paul Pierce0.050,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.01-0.01869%0.123-0.0610100%0.06
Nate Robinson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.01550%0.0300.0000%0.00
Glen Davis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.04333%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Michael Finley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelden Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.011100%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.011546%0.032-0.051145%-0.06
Marquis Daniels-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Garnett-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.021436%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ray Allen-0.080,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.011136%-0.061-0.02367%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jameer Nelson0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.150.020.041086%0.183-0.048100%0.03
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.02-0.00580%0.0900.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.000.00674%0.111-0.03786%0.01
Matt Barnes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.02675%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.030.011158%0.082-0.05250%-0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.02-0.031258%0.104-0.071258%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01456%0.0200.001100%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.011038%0.0100.001100%0.01
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.04567%0.011-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.13.737.520.036.53.837.4169.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +34.2%
ORL +6.0%
ORL +10.2%
BOS -3.8%
ORL +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSORLNBABOSORLNBA
this game16.016.515.3104.5127.0106.0
season15.515.4105.7110.1
opponent15.915.7101.9102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.315.417.516.016.0
ORL15.417.315.917.516.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marquis Daniels670.00-0.500.51-0.052-232519.015.83.1716.316.5-0.23
Shelden Williams88-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-191714.416.2-1.8421.716.05.77
Nate Robinson1515-0.06-0.450.390.06-4-171314.916.3-1.3421.715.46.22
Michael Finley1311-0.06-0.440.380.09-5-161116.216.00.2221.415.85.56
Kendrick Perkins3131-0.08-0.420.35-0.05-1-201915.016.6-1.5616.416.5-0.12
Tony Allen1819-0.15-0.350.190.14-10-11115.416.2-0.7619.115.83.25
Glen Davis3737-0.22-0.280.07-0.04-6-15916.615.61.0415.916.9-0.98
Kevin Garnett5456-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-10-11116.016.1-0.1215.717.9-2.20
Rasheed Wallace3334-0.33-0.17-0.160.17-17-4-1317.015.51.4815.617.1-1.47
Ray Allen7778-0.43-0.07-0.370.04-16-5-1116.413.92.4415.821.4-5.56
Paul Pierce7677-0.44-0.06-0.380.09-18-3-1515.718.1-2.3616.516.7-0.20
Rajon Rondo7272-0.48-0.02-0.450.05-18-3-1516.115.90.2115.620.3-4.70

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Redick41400.400.100.30-0.131831516.416.6-0.1516.515.70.83
Dwight Howard73740.340.160.18-0.04138516.317.6-1.3016.115.50.65
Rashard Lewis42430.320.180.15-0.09147717.815.32.5415.316.8-1.50
Matt Barnes46460.280.220.070.08714-715.717.3-1.6516.315.80.50
Jameer Nelson57570.270.230.04-0.051110115.817.8-2.0115.916.2-0.28
Marcin Gortat38360.250.250.00-0.01912-315.317.4-2.0117.315.22.09
Mickael Pietrus43440.230.27-0.03-0.061011-117.815.32.5115.716.4-0.64
Jason Williams32310.230.27-0.04-0.061011-117.815.82.0116.215.90.28
Vince Carter48470.100.40-0.31-0.11714-716.216.9-0.7115.916.2-0.33
Brandon Bass25220.070.43-0.36-0.10615-916.716.40.2614.816.5-1.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 71, NJN 980.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
UTA 63, HOU 840.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
IND 96, CHI 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.4%