NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	4.9 [809]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +9.2%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	1.5 [1188]		LVP	Dennis Rodman (CHI): -20.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
LaSalle Thompson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	56%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Reggie Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.09	22	54%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Rik Smits	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	21	46%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	21	64%	0.16	4	-0.07	17	88%	0.03
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	7	73%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	5	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	11	64%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	16	53%	0.01	2	-0.05	13	77%	-0.01
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.20	-0.03	-0.03	6	29%	-0.05	7	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	25.4	14.7	30.0	1.8	36.3	133.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +24.3%

CHI +14.9%

CHI +17.3%

IND -10.1%

CHI +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	14.0	15.6	102.1	111.8	104.4
season	15.3	15.5		103.6	110.5
opponent	16.1	16.3		99.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.7	16.2	18.1	14.2	16.8
CHI	11.8	13.8	15.3	15.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaSalle Thompson	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-8	8	10.0	16.9	-6.86	0.0	14.0	-14.00
Duane Ferrell	28	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	18.6	16.0	2.64	13.2	14.3	-1.10
Fred Hoiberg	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-13	18	16.4	17.1	-0.75	15.6	12.6	3.02
Jalen Rose	16	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	0	-8	18.6	16.4	2.14	10.7	14.7	-3.93
Travis Best	46	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-10	12	14.9	18.6	-3.63	14.4	13.6	0.77
Dale Davis	72	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-7	6	16.7	17.1	-0.40	14.0	14.1	-0.17
Rik Smits	62	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	17.6	15.1	2.52	13.9	14.1	-0.19
Mark Jackson	71	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	0	-8	17.0	16.1	0.93	13.9	14.2	-0.29
Antonio Davis	53	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	0	-8	16.0	17.8	-1.72	14.1	13.8	0.31
Reggie Miller	77	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	7	-22	16.9	16.4	0.46	13.9	14.6	-0.69

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	85	86	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	2	4	14.2	12.4	1.78	16.9	15.6	1.27
Scottie Pippen	80	82	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	0	8	13.9	14.7	-0.80	16.7	17.1	-0.34
Steve Kerr	49	48	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	4	0	14.5	13.5	1.04	14.9	18.8	-3.95
Dennis Rodman	82	81	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	7	-6	14.0	14.1	-0.10	17.0	15.8	1.18
Ron Harper	51	53	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	-1	10	13.5	14.6	-1.13	18.4	14.8	3.60
Luc Longley	49	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.08	12	-4	16	13.0	15.1	-2.03	18.3	15.0	3.25
Jason Caffey	34	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	7	-6	13.9	14.1	-0.19	15.0	17.7	-2.66
Robert Parish	18	19	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	6	-4	16.8	13.3	3.51	15.7	17.1	-1.38
Jud Buechler	9	10	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	7	-6	14.0	14.0	-0.00	17.5	16.7	0.80
Bill Wennington	3	4	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	8	-8	14.3	14.0	0.34	15.5	16.8	-1.34
Randy Brown	5	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	12	-16	13.6	14.0	-0.42	14.2	16.9	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, NJN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.73,0.77,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BOS 92, ORL 113	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DET 111, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.94,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	95.4%