NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	5.7 [688]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +21.3%
Boston Celtics	118		Comeback	1.4 [723]		LVP	Kyle Singler (DET): -10.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	15	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	13	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	24	53%	0.05	4	-0.09	5	20%	-0.06
Rodney Stuckey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	27%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Will Bynum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	9	60%	0.03	3	-0.08	12	83%	0.01
Kyle Singler	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.03	-0.03	19	71%	0.25	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.01	10	69%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Kris Humphries	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.03	13	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	10	56%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Babb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	15	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	34.5	15.7	21.7	2.0	41.2	142.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.8%

DET -3.5%

DET -11.3%

BOS +23.3%

DET -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	13.2	16.2	15.1	113.3	120.4	105.2
season	15.0	15.4		104.7	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		106.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.6	14.6	14.3	11.6	13.2
BOS	15.7	14.8	17.7	16.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	6	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	0	-7	16.3	13.0	3.36	11.2	16.5	-5.37
Jonas Jerebko	11	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	1	-9	14.0	13.1	0.92	14.9	16.4	-1.46
Greg Monroe	77	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-10	13	13.2	13.1	0.05	16.5	14.8	1.75
Will Bynum	46	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-7	7	13.0	13.3	-0.31	15.5	16.9	-1.41
Rodney Stuckey	33	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	0	-7	14.1	12.7	1.41	16.1	16.3	-0.18
Brandon Jennings	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-4	1	12.6	15.5	-2.91	16.4	15.2	1.23
Josh Smith	80	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-5	3	13.0	13.9	-0.86	16.3	15.7	0.59
Kyle Singler	79	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	12.7	15.1	-2.32	16.8	13.9	2.89
Andre Drummond	79	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	2	-11	13.7	11.1	2.64	16.0	17.0	-1.07

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	77	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	3	1	16.1	16.6	-0.53	13.1	13.6	-0.56
Jared Sullinger	59	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	2	3	15.2	17.7	-2.47	12.6	13.9	-1.28
Kris Humphries	54	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	2	3	16.4	15.9	0.49	12.9	13.5	-0.60
Chris Babb	25	25	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-4	15	17.0	15.9	1.12	13.0	13.2	-0.19
Rajon Rondo	69	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	6	-5	16.1	16.6	-0.49	12.4	14.9	-2.48
Phil Pressey	29	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	1	5	16.6	16.1	0.49	14.9	12.4	2.48
Jeff Green	73	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	11	-15	15.9	17.0	-1.12	13.2	13.0	0.19
Brandon Bass	45	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	5	-3	17.2	15.4	1.84	14.0	12.4	1.57
Chris Johnson	21	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	4	-1	16.6	16.1	0.53	13.6	13.1	0.56
Kelly Olynyk	38	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	16.2	16.2	0.05	13.4	13.1	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.94,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
IND 96, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NJN 93, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	95.3%