NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	5.5 [683]		MVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): +21.3%
Golden State Warriors	122		Comeback	1.3 [918]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (LAC): -9.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	-0.01	0.02	15	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	21	54%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	12	53%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Al Thornton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	16	47%	-0.02	4	-0.07	11	91%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0	25%	-0.02	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.04	-0.00	12	77%	0.23	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.06	0.04	18	67%	0.20	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Patrick O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	15	55%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	19	44%	0.02	1	-0.00	10	80%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	29%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	8	60%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.6	32.1	16.4	32.5	2.5	30.4	142.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +22.6%

GSW +12.5%

LAC -0.3%

GSW +14.1%

GSW +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	12.9	15.4	108.2	120.8	105.7
season	15.6	13.5		99.5	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.1		107.9	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.6	15.2	15.8	16.2	16.2
GSW	11.4	13.6	13.5	13.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	9	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-17	17	15.6	16.3	-0.73	13.6	12.9	0.68
Paul Davis	2	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-15	13	14.0	16.3	-2.26	10.7	13.0	-2.28
Tim Thomas	76	79	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-15	13	16.1	16.7	-0.57	13.3	11.6	1.67
Al Thornton	11	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-14	11	15.8	16.3	-0.45	13.7	12.8	0.92
Ruben Patterson	43	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-9	1	17.6	15.1	2.49	13.0	12.9	0.07
Sam Cassell	62	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-5	-7	16.3	16.1	0.16	13.0	12.8	0.16
Brevin Knight	36	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-14	11	16.1	16.3	-0.17	12.7	13.1	-0.45
Corey Maggette	61	60	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-13	9	17.0	14.8	2.20	12.1	14.1	-2.03
Quinton Ross	31	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	-3	-11	14.5	17.0	-2.55	12.6	13.1	-0.50
Chris Kaman	82	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-2	-13	16.4	15.1	1.36	13.0	12.6	0.45
Cuttino Mobley	72	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.06	-22	5	-27	15.5	18.2	-2.62	13.3	12.0	1.30

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	89	87	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.08	22	-5	27	12.8	13.9	-1.11	16.6	13.0	3.59
Baron Davis	84	80	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	1	15	13.0	12.6	0.42	16.0	17.1	-1.09
Monta Ellis	50	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	6	5	13.5	12.4	1.03	15.6	16.8	-1.21
Andris Biedrins	72	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	2	13	12.6	13.9	-1.29	16.3	16.1	0.20
Kelenna Azubuike	82	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	14	-11	12.5	14.8	-2.28	16.4	15.3	1.15
Al Harrington	81	77	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	6	5	13.6	10.3	3.29	16.4	15.5	0.90
Brandan Wright	13	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	14	-11	11.5	13.1	-1.61	16.5	16.2	0.28
Patrick O'Bryant	23	24	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	18	-19	14.0	12.6	1.37	16.5	16.1	0.32
Marco Belinelli	7	5	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.01	3	14	-11	11.7	13.0	-1.32	13.2	16.4	-3.18
Austin Croshere	4	3	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	15	-13	10.7	13.0	-2.28	10.7	16.4	-5.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 83, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
BOS 79, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIL 88, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.83,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%