NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	89		Excitement	5.1 [486]		MVP	Walt Williams (POR): +12.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	1.3 [770]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -13.0%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pete Chilcutt	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	63%	0.02	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02
Terry Dehere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	15	59%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.03	14	63%	0.06	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Wheat	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	16	47%	-0.03	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	7	79%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	9	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	7	43%	-0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.05	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	31.2	15.7	25.6	2.4	33.6	135.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.9%

VAN -2.5%

POR +9.3%

POR +3.2%

POR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	POR	NBA	VAN	POR	NBA
this game	17.9	15.0	15.8	101.1	112.6	99.6
season	16.4	16.0		95.7	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.1		96.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	19.4	21.0	14.4	17.4	17.9
POR	14.9	13.3	17.0	14.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	50	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-16	23	16.6	19.7	-3.06	15.0	14.9	0.05
J.R. Henderson	15	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-11	13	19.5	17.6	1.86	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Mike Bibby	70	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.27	6	-15	21	16.8	22.3	-5.55	15.3	13.6	1.79
Tony Massenburg	44	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-6	3	17.5	18.3	-0.80	16.3	13.7	2.58
Terry Dehere	11	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	0	-9	20.6	17.5	3.10	15.5	14.9	0.55
Felipe Lopez	65	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	18.1	17.4	0.66	14.7	15.9	-1.25
Pete Chilcutt	36	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	0	-9	16.9	18.6	-1.75	14.6	15.2	-0.62
DeJuan Wheat	31	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	19.1	17.3	1.87	13.8	15.6	-1.82
Michael Smith	45	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	4	-17	20.6	15.1	5.53	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	2	-13	17.6	19.5	-1.86	15.2	13.7	1.51

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	43	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-5	19	14.6	15.4	-0.78	17.7	18.1	-0.44
Kelvin Cato	37	39	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-3	15	15.2	14.8	0.46	19.6	16.6	2.95
Greg Anthony	31	30	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-2	13	15.2	14.9	0.34	18.8	17.5	1.33
Jim Jackson	28	29	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	0	9	15.0	15.0	0.03	20.7	16.6	4.08
Rasheed Wallace	69	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	4	1	15.6	12.8	2.77	17.3	20.5	-3.23
Arvydas Sabonis	63	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	5	-1	14.7	15.7	-0.95	18.3	17.1	1.11
Damon Stoudamire	66	67	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	13	-17	14.4	16.9	-2.54	17.0	20.9	-3.86
Isaiah Rider	55	57	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	10	-11	14.9	15.1	-0.23	17.6	18.5	-0.87
Stacey Augmon	43	43	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	14	-19	15.5	14.5	1.01	16.6	19.2	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%
WAS 82, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.88,0.85,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.5%
PHX 78, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	94.4%