NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	82		Excitement	5.3 [742]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): +15.7%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	1.1 [1261]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -8.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	22	51%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.02	7	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	32%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Earl Boykins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.03	15	56%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	0.00	18	39%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	18	56%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.05	-0.04	23	52%	0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	13	50%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	8	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	71%	0.03	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	28.2	15.6	24.0	1.8	31.4	127.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +47.8%

WAS -15.5%

ATL +3.0%

ATL +12.2%

ATL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	16.7	15.3	95.3	109.3	106.0
season	15.7	16.0		102.6	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.3		106.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	17.6	18.6	16.0	16.7
ATL	18.6	14.5	16.5	17.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	35	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.35	8	-20	28	17.7	16.1	1.64	16.4	17.0	-0.69
Nick Young	37	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-7	2	16.4	17.0	-0.55	17.6	16.1	1.44
Dominic McGuire	9	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-3	-6	20.7	16.3	4.38	13.6	17.1	-3.56
Brendan Haywood	61	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-11	10	17.0	16.0	1.05	17.1	15.9	1.15
Caron Butler	74	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-11	10	16.4	19.1	-2.72	17.3	12.6	4.71
Earl Boykins	18	17	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.25	-20	8	-28	16.0	16.9	-0.94	15.2	17.1	-1.95
Antawn Jamison	81	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-8	4	16.9	14.4	2.49	17.0	13.4	3.55
Randy Foye	82	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	-5	-2	16.6	19.0	-2.37	16.9	14.0	2.88
Andray Blatche	33	31	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	9	-30	15.6	17.5	-1.85	15.0	17.7	-2.68

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	66	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	0	12	16.6	17.3	-0.72	17.0	15.8	1.16
Jamal Crawford	55	55	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.06	14	-2	16	16.1	18.0	-1.91	16.7	16.8	-0.10
Joe Johnson	79	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	7	-2	17.1	12.9	4.23	16.3	21.0	-4.69
Jeff Teague	14	14	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.19	18	-6	24	13.0	17.5	-4.47	18.9	16.3	2.61
Joe Smith	14	13	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	-5	22	13.0	17.5	-4.47	18.6	16.4	2.20
Josh Smith	69	69	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	13	-14	17.5	13.7	3.79	16.1	19.5	-3.40
Mario West	21	21	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	10	-8	15.5	17.1	-1.61	19.8	15.8	3.99
Al Horford	56	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	12	-12	17.6	15.2	2.37	17.3	15.8	1.50
Mike Bibby	48	49	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	14	-16	17.5	15.8	1.76	15.3	18.6	-3.30
Jason Collins	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	17	-22	18.9	16.5	2.35	15.1	16.9	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.88,0.85,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 89, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.5%
MIL 74, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
ORL 102, CHA 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	93.6%