NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	119		Excitement	3.8 [1038]		MVP	Ochai Agbaji (TOR): +24.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	93		Comeback	1.8 [435]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (NOP): -14.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ochai Agbaji	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.28	0.03	0.07	10	120%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Battle	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.27	0.01	0.12	11	109%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.10	4	-0.07	7	43%	-0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	14	48%	0.06	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Jonathan Mogbo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	23	35%	-0.00	5	-0.12	2	50%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	-0.07	14	50%	0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	9	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Boston Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	5	61%	0.02	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	11	45%	-0.01	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	20	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.02	0.04	17	38%	-0.11	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	24.3	14.4	28.5	2.5	24.5	121.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +45.3%

TOR +0.6%

TOR +3.5%

NOP -0.2%

TOR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NOP	NBA	TOR	NOP	NBA
this game	14.0	14.4	14.4	117.8	91.2	113.0
season	13.9	14.4		109.0	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.6		118.3	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.7	16.1	13.4	13.1	14.0
NOP	14.0	14.5	15.9	13.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	65	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.28	33	-7	40	14.1	13.9	0.14	15.2	12.8	2.42
Ja'Kobe Walter	64	62	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.32	31	-5	36	12.4	16.9	-4.51	13.7	15.3	-1.58
Ochai Agbaji	60	61	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.40	33	-7	40	12.6	16.1	-3.56	15.4	12.8	2.69
Jakob Poeltl	68	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.22	26	0	26	13.4	15.2	-1.79	14.7	13.8	0.86
RJ Barrett	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.20	23	3	20	13.4	15.2	-1.77	14.8	13.3	1.48
Jamal Shead	34	33	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	24	-22	14.3	13.9	0.43	14.0	14.5	-0.54
Bruno Fernando	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	12.1	14.3	-2.20	11.9	14.8	-2.85
Garrett Temple	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	32	-38	12.5	14.2	-1.75	7.9	15.1	-7.17
Jonathan Mogbo	29	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	31	-36	15.8	13.3	2.45	12.8	15.0	-2.24
Chris Boucher	21	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	29	-32	18.4	12.8	5.58	14.0	14.5	-0.52
Davion Mitchell	27	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.07	-2	28	-30	16.2	13.2	3.02	14.8	14.2	0.65
Jamison Battle	42	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	27	-28	16.4	12.3	4.06	14.8	14.0	0.84

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	68	65	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.10	-1	-25	24	14.0	15.1	-1.18	15.5	11.2	4.29
Antonio Reeves	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-27	28	11.9	14.8	-2.85	12.1	14.3	-2.20
Elfrid Payton	56	54	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-23	20	13.5	15.4	-1.95	15.5	12.3	3.28
Trey Jemison III	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-28	30	10.6	15.0	-4.31	15.2	13.8	1.40
Daniel Theis	28	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-19	12	14.8	14.2	0.63	15.9	13.4	2.54
Jordan Hawkins	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-14	2	15.6	13.4	2.12	14.5	13.6	0.83
CJ McCollum	63	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.21	-20	-6	-14	14.6	14.0	0.59	14.1	13.8	0.36
Yves Missi	60	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.23	-21	-5	-16	15.0	13.4	1.59	12.9	15.6	-2.72
Brandon Boston Jr.	46	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	-7	-12	14.0	14.6	-0.58	12.8	15.0	-2.25
Dejounte Murray	54	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.22	-25	-1	-24	15.3	13.3	1.94	12.6	15.6	-3.01
Javonte Green	62	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.17	-25	-1	-24	14.5	14.1	0.43	13.2	15.3	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 116, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
ORL 100, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
CHI 113, GSW 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%