inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 100 Excitement3.7 [1052] MVPTracy McGrady (ORL): +20.8%
Milwaukee Bucks 90 Comeback1.4 [499] LVPSam Cassell (MIL): -17.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0.210,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.190.020.002970%0.234-0.039100%0.01
Mike Miller0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.03-0.011252%0.051-0.025100%0.01
Pat Burke0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.04743%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Jeryl Sasser0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.000.04962%0.001-0.01367%-0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02757%0.043-0.0500%0.00
Grant Hill-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.0520%-0.022-0.0000%0.00
Shawn Kemp-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ryan Humphrey-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03744%-0.003-0.05250%-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02471%0.0100.00667%-0.01
Marcus Haislip00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Flip Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.050.000.052100%-0.0000.002100%-0.00
Anthony Mason0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00660%0.022-0.04333%-0.02
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.011347%-0.0200.00850%-0.04
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021945%-0.022-0.0100%0.00
Jason Caffey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Tim Thomas0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.011158%0.023-0.052100%0.01
Dan Gadzuric0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.001100%0.003-0.042100%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.021237%-0.043-0.08367%0.00
Sam Cassell0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.19-0.01-0.031017%-0.123-0.06367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.524.715.025.22.327.6121.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +36.3%
ORL +2.8%
ORL +1.3%
ORL +10.3%
MIL -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMILNBAORLMILNBA
this game16.115.815.5109.9100.0101.6
season14.615.4102.7106.3
opponent15.815.8106.5103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.414.316.218.416.1
MIL15.917.816.512.915.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong64640.66-0.160.82-0.1628-184614.719.3-4.6516.314.51.77
Pat Garrity77760.55-0.050.59-0.0420-103015.917.2-1.3615.815.40.39
Pat Burke57560.54-0.040.590.0816-62215.317.3-2.0115.616.0-0.44
Tracy McGrady74720.51-0.010.52-0.0419-92815.518.5-2.9616.114.31.78
Mike Miller74720.300.200.10-0.0512-21416.315.01.3116.811.75.11
Grant Hill21220.230.27-0.04-0.0911-11213.716.8-3.1215.515.9-0.40
Jeryl Sasser99-0.020.52-0.540.42-1525-4021.415.55.978.616.6-8.00
Ryan Humphrey3333-0.050.55-0.600.42-1626-4217.715.12.5615.216.1-0.91
Shawn Kemp1920-0.060.56-0.630.14-717-2417.615.71.9815.515.8-0.26
Jacque Vaughn2726-0.160.66-0.820.37-1828-4619.314.74.6514.516.3-1.77

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Redd56560.02-0.520.54-0.2710-203015.416.4-0.9616.715.11.55
Kevin Ollie41420.01-0.510.51-0.3512-223414.516.8-2.2817.814.63.28
Flip Murray440.00-0.500.50-0.269-19283.716.3-12.5626.515.610.91
Marcus Haislip66-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-16227.216.4-9.2026.215.410.81
Dan Gadzuric3736-0.00-0.500.49-0.4415-254013.017.7-4.6317.914.92.97
Jason Caffey1818-0.25-0.25-0.000.04-100-1017.915.22.7415.016.3-1.33
Toni Kukoc6365-0.36-0.14-0.210.32-2313-3617.411.95.5215.916.4-0.50
Tim Thomas5960-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.23-5-5015.416.4-0.9615.916.4-0.49
Ray Allen6162-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.06-144-1816.115.01.1714.818.7-3.85
Sam Cassell4949-0.510.01-0.510.14-2212-3416.814.52.2814.617.8-3.28
Anthony Mason5657-0.560.07-0.630.26-2818-4617.113.63.4814.618.6-4.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 90, SAC 730.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
CLE 121, BOS 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
LAL 115, PHX 780.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%