NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	3.3 [1090]		MVP	Brian Grant (POR): +0.9%
Sacramento Kings	73		Comeback	1.2 [920]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (SAC): -14.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	13	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	22	51%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Gary Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.06	10	27%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	10	42%	-0.02	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	10	65%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.20	-0.02	-0.11	9	0%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	8	12%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	3.3	24.3	15.6	23.4	2.5	24.2	114.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +19.0%

POR +5.1%

POR +21.2%

POR +4.0%

POR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.6	97.8	80.2	102.5
season	15.9	15.2		101.9	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.3	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.5	14.5	16.0	17.1	16.0
SAC	13.5	15.5	16.7	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	66	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.10	22	-5	27	16.1	15.9	0.19	15.2	16.1	-0.92
Damon Stoudamire	64	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-2	21	16.5	15.0	1.47	15.1	16.1	-1.00
Isaiah Rider	74	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.09	20	-3	23	16.2	15.3	0.86	15.2	16.5	-1.36
Kelvin Cato	47	46	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	7	3	15.8	16.2	-0.44	15.3	15.6	-0.25
Jermaine O'Neal	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	11	-5	15.7	16.4	-0.66	15.7	15.1	0.64
Stacey Augmon	44	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.13	9	8	1	16.3	15.7	0.61	15.5	15.4	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	45	45	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.12	7	10	-3	16.2	15.8	0.44	15.6	15.3	0.25
Walt Williams	38	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	21	-25	15.7	16.3	-0.58	16.0	15.1	0.94
John Crotty	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	14.2	16.2	-1.94	11.3	15.8	-4.51
Gary Grant	23	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	14	-11	15.3	16.3	-0.96	17.5	14.7	2.84

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	44	44	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-24	31	16.1	14.9	1.20	16.1	15.9	0.18
Chris Robinson	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-19	21	15.4	15.5	-0.02	16.3	16.0	0.33
Billy Owens	30	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-12	7	15.1	15.6	-0.52	15.9	16.1	-0.18
Lawrence Funderburke	36	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-18	19	15.7	15.3	0.40	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Terry Dehere	42	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-15	13	16.1	14.9	1.24	17.2	15.0	2.15
Michael Stewart	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-8	-1	17.7	13.7	4.01	17.4	15.0	2.45
Otis Thorpe	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	-4	-9	14.0	16.7	-2.74	15.5	16.5	-1.00
Mark Hendrickson	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-6	-5	15.2	15.7	-0.48	16.0	16.0	-0.04
Anthony Johnson	54	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-5	-7	15.3	15.7	-0.42	15.5	16.8	-1.32
Corliss Williamson	61	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	2	-21	14.9	16.6	-1.67	15.5	17.0	-1.48
Mitch Richmond	47	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.17	-24	7	-31	14.9	16.1	-1.20	15.9	16.1	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 121, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
ORL 100, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
LAL 115, PHX 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%