NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	3.4 [1064]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +24.9%
Phoenix Suns	78		Comeback	1.4 [737]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): -9.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.22	0.05	0.02	19	78%	0.26	1	-0.01	11	100%	0.04
Mike Penberthy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	92%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	14	49%	-0.02	3	-0.06	9	44%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	5	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ruben Garces	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	8	24%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Paul McPherson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	13	23%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	3	12%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	12	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	14	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	13	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	58%	0.00	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	30.1	15.4	29.8	1.8	25.2	129.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +50.8%

PHX -2.8%

PHX -7.2%

LAL +8.0%

LAL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.8	13.9	15.5	111.7	74.3	100.9
season	15.6	14.9		106.8	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.2		96.2	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	14.4	13.7	13.0	13.8
PHX	15.1	15.0	12.5	13.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	70	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.30	27	10	17	13.6	14.2	-0.60	14.2	13.2	0.98
Shaquille O'Neal	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.31	27	10	17	13.7	14.0	-0.32	14.5	12.4	2.17
Robert Horry	49	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.29	22	15	7	13.2	14.4	-1.19	14.2	13.6	0.64
Rick Fox	57	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.24	20	17	3	13.8	13.8	-0.04	14.9	12.5	2.39
Brian Shaw	58	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.54	28	9	19	14.0	13.6	0.37	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Ron Harper	49	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	23	-9	14.0	13.7	0.29	14.8	13.1	1.67
Isaiah Rider	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.28	15	22	-7	12.8	14.4	-1.60	12.3	14.8	-2.42
Mark Madsen	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.15	9	28	-19	14.5	13.4	1.09	14.0	13.8	0.27
Slava Medvedenko	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	32	-27	12.8	14.1	-1.34	12.1	14.5	-2.40
Greg Foster	16	16	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.12	5	32	-27	17.9	13.1	4.82	12.5	14.1	-1.63
Mike Penberthy	38	38	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.38	13	24	-11	14.0	13.7	0.27	12.3	14.8	-2.46

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Garces	28	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.32	-11	-26	15	13.2	14.1	-0.92	13.0	14.1	-1.14
Daniel Santiago	49	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.41	-15	-22	7	13.3	14.4	-1.05	12.7	14.7	-2.01
Tom Gugliotta	48	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.35	-13	-24	11	13.3	14.4	-1.02	13.4	14.2	-0.81
Elliot Perry	45	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.47	-18	-19	1	13.1	14.5	-1.36	14.0	13.6	0.35
Paul McPherson	45	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.49	-19	-18	-1	13.1	14.5	-1.36	13.1	14.3	-1.22
Rodney Rogers	42	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	-26	15	14.3	13.6	0.67	14.5	13.3	1.17
Chris Dudley	33	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-26	15	14.2	13.7	0.48	14.3	13.6	0.78
Clifford Robinson	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-25	13	15.2	13.0	2.20	14.8	13.2	1.58
Jason Kidd	64	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	-14	-9	14.2	13.3	0.89	13.9	13.7	0.19
Shawn Marion	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.26	-25	-12	-13	14.1	13.5	0.51	14.2	13.0	1.14
Tony Delk	61	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.28	-27	-10	-17	14.3	13.3	1.02	13.8	13.8	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 86, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.7%
OKC 125, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
POR 90, SAC 73	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%