inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 125 Excitement3.2 [1171] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +15.7%
Memphis Grizzlies 88 Comeback1.3 [775] LVPMike Conley (MEM): -14.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.160,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.250.030.121494%0.223-0.066100%0.03
Serge Ibaka0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.02-0.021557%0.111-0.0200%0.00
D.J. Augustin0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.020.04781%0.0900.002100%-0.00
Dion Waiters0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.000.01-0.05863%0.083-0.023100%-0.00
Russell Westbrook0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01781%0.083-0.052100%0.01
Anthony Morrow0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.080.000.06489%0.0200.001100%0.00
Andre Roberson0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.04759%0.0100.00367%0.00
Cameron Payne0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Novak0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Singler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Steven Adams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.04529%-0.011-0.02450%-0.02
Enes Kanter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.010.000.03643%-0.0400.0020%-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.020.03879%0.143-0.03887%0.01
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.080.01-0.111335%0.042-0.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00750%0.0200.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03761%0.0200.00475%-0.00
Jeff Green0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.011043%0.031-0.021100%0.00
Russ Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02383%0.003-0.0100%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01633%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00952%0.033-0.073100%0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011037%-0.041-0.02475%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.13-0.02-0.0070%-0.131-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.11.824.215.827.12.526.4128.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +53.9%
MEM -10.3%
OKC +0.5%
OKC +2.1%
OKC +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMEMNBAOKCMEMNBA
this game15.115.214.9131.692.6105.1
season14.415.7111.5103.4
opponent14.815.1106.7104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.115.014.016.615.1
MEM15.617.013.714.715.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant62620.53-0.030.56-0.553703714.316.7-2.3715.315.00.30
Russell Westbrook46480.51-0.010.52-0.2526111515.414.90.4716.114.21.89
Serge Ibaka54550.480.020.46-0.2324131115.914.11.8516.113.92.10
Dion Waiters53550.290.210.08-0.392314913.417.3-3.9214.915.5-0.53
Anthony Morrow35370.260.240.010.05730-2315.814.80.9916.014.71.32
Andre Roberson45440.230.27-0.04-0.442314915.015.3-0.3614.915.4-0.53
Steven Adams27270.230.27-0.04-0.121225-1317.514.23.3115.115.2-0.13
Cameron Payne12110.000.50-0.50-0.09334-3117.214.82.4115.115.2-0.09
Steve Novak1090.000.50-0.50-0.12433-2916.015.00.9515.215.20.06
Kyle Singler18180.000.50-0.50-0.12433-2916.814.82.0815.715.10.61
Enes Kanter3028-0.000.50-0.50-0.12433-2915.714.90.8614.615.4-0.85
Nick Collison3434-0.010.51-0.52-0.22730-2313.416.1-2.7013.716.0-2.28
D.J. Augustin4947-0.010.51-0.52-0.331126-1514.915.4-0.4714.216.1-1.89

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JaMychal Green39390.04-0.540.570.30-9-281913.916.1-2.1615.514.90.66
Vince Carter44440.01-0.510.530.28-9-281914.515.7-1.2014.615.6-0.95
Russ Smith16160.00-0.500.500.12-4-332915.515.10.4017.114.82.30
Matt Barnes3940-0.06-0.440.370.49-19-18-113.616.3-2.7214.615.6-0.99
Mario Chalmers4445-0.10-0.400.290.28-13-241113.716.4-2.6815.215.10.18
Courtney Lee6161-0.15-0.350.200.47-21-16-514.616.1-1.5214.715.9-1.19
Tony Allen2727-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-16-21516.214.71.4715.215.10.05
Zach Randolph6159-0.37-0.13-0.250.21-20-17-316.013.72.2816.213.52.65
Mike Conley4242-0.48-0.02-0.460.16-22-15-716.514.12.4714.715.5-0.73
Marc Gasol4646-0.510.01-0.510.23-25-12-1315.714.71.0614.216.0-1.80
Jeff Green5656-0.520.02-0.540.27-27-10-1716.413.43.0715.514.60.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 115, PHX 780.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
SAS 116, MIN 910.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
PHI 89, CHI 750.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%