NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	3.1 [1191]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +11.2%
Chicago Bulls	75		Comeback	1.4 [481]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -8.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.01	-0.05	29	56%	0.16	5	-0.05	12	100%	0.03
Michael Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Steven Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	15	33%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	8	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	23%	-0.03	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.04	-0.07	13	38%	0.05	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	17	51%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Eddie Basden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	39%	-0.03	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Luke Schenscher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	11	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	2	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	-0.07	13	19%	-0.09	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	26.3	16.5	25.4	2.6	31.1	130.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.1%

PHI +8.1%

PHI +18.7%

CHI -6.5%

CHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	17.8	14.4	15.6	100.0	83.3	104.4
season	15.2	14.4		104.1	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.3		102.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.2	18.8	16.7	19.5	17.8
CHI	16.5	17.2	14.0	10.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	77	75	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.11	26	-12	38	17.7	18.4	-0.70	14.6	13.1	1.51
Allen Iverson	74	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.15	27	-13	40	17.8	17.8	0.01	14.8	12.2	2.63
Samuel Dalembert	56	56	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.15	21	-7	28	17.9	17.6	0.32	15.2	13.1	2.09
Steven Hunter	64	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	3	8	18.2	16.7	1.51	14.8	13.2	1.59
John Salmons	62	62	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	10	-6	18.5	16.3	2.12	14.6	14.0	0.56
Michael Bradley	9	10	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	13	-12	13.8	18.3	-4.48	12.9	14.6	-1.68
Kyle Korver	48	49	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	18	-22	17.5	18.2	-0.67	13.5	15.5	-1.97
Shavlik Randolph	15	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	14	-14	18.0	17.8	0.23	17.1	13.8	3.25
Matt Barnes	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	17	-20	16.1	18.1	-1.99	9.8	15.0	-5.21
Lou Williams	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	9.7	18.1	-8.43	6.5	14.8	-8.26
Willie Green	25	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.13	-9	23	-32	18.9	17.4	1.49	13.0	15.0	-1.98

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	7.8	14.9	-7.02	9.8	18.3	-8.49
Eddie Basden	24	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-23	32	10.0	16.0	-5.93	19.5	17.3	2.19
Tyson Chandler	45	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-11	8	14.9	13.9	0.96	20.1	15.3	4.76
Michael Sweetney	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	-7	0	15.2	14.0	1.19	18.1	17.7	0.43
Luke Schenscher	18	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-16	18	12.2	14.9	-2.71	15.6	18.3	-2.74
Jannero Pargo	49	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-9	4	13.9	15.0	-1.17	19.6	15.5	4.18
Malik Allen	48	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-11	8	14.9	13.8	1.04	17.2	18.5	-1.26
Othella Harrington	14	13	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-7	0	15.7	14.1	1.57	14.7	18.3	-3.65
Ben Gordon	51	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	14.2	14.7	-0.49	18.6	16.6	1.99
Chris Duhon	51	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-1	-12	14.4	14.3	0.10	16.4	19.5	-3.03
Andres Nocioni	68	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.09	-16	2	-18	15.1	12.3	2.80	17.2	19.7	-2.55
Kirk Hinrich	49	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.23	-23	9	-32	16.1	12.3	3.81	17.2	18.6	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 103, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
OKC 125, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
SAS 116, MIN 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%