NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	3.9 [1065]		MVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): +11.6%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	1.5 [1012]		LVP	Archie Goodwin (PHX): -14.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0.12	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	10	72%	0.12	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Trevor Ariza	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	0.01	0.07	12	83%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
James Harden	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	16	55%	0.08	2	-0.02	17	82%	0.02
KJ McDaniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	58%	0.06	5	-0.05	10	50%	-0.03
Corey Brewer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	7	61%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	0.00	-0.03	7	17%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.01	0.07	12	76%	0.10	3	-0.06	9	89%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	13	56%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	45%	-0.05	2	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	0.06	11	57%	0.00	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	13	33%	-0.07	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	32.4	15.5	35.5	1.7	34.2	148.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +25.3%

HOU +3.2%

HOU +9.3%

HOU +11.9%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	12.7	14.3	14.9	108.4	94.3	105.1
season	14.0	14.4		105.9	100.9
opponent	14.4	15.1		107.4	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	10.5	12.3	14.3	12.7
PHX	15.1	15.8	13.0	13.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	69	70	0.74	-0.24	0.99	-0.43	40	-24	64	11.9	14.3	-2.47	16.4	10.2	6.18
Patrick Beverley	59	60	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.46	39	-23	62	12.2	13.5	-1.33	16.4	11.6	4.76
James Harden	70	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.41	35	-19	54	12.6	12.9	-0.30	16.0	10.9	5.06
Dwight Howard	63	66	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.32	29	-13	42	12.2	13.5	-1.24	15.8	11.8	3.94
Josh Smith	50	51	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	-2	20	12.6	12.9	-0.24	15.0	13.6	1.38
Montrezl Harrell	25	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	18	-20	14.1	12.3	1.74	12.1	14.9	-2.83
KJ McDaniels	29	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.40	-14	30	-44	13.6	12.4	1.20	10.4	15.6	-5.23
Clint Capela	44	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.36	-13	29	-42	13.5	12.2	1.24	11.8	15.8	-3.94
Jason Terry	27	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.21	-10	26	-36	12.0	13.0	-0.95	12.3	15.0	-2.74
Ty Lawson	48	46	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.50	-23	39	-62	13.5	12.2	1.33	11.6	16.4	-4.76
Corey Brewer	51	49	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.34	-19	35	-54	13.4	12.1	1.31	12.4	15.9	-3.45

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	40	41	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.51	21	-37	58	11.9	15.7	-3.78	12.5	12.9	-0.38
Jordan McRae	34	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.35	11	-27	38	12.6	15.1	-2.52	13.9	12.2	1.68
Ronnie Price	51	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.16	-7	-9	2	15.1	13.6	1.53	12.3	13.2	-0.90
Kris Humphries	61	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-20	24	13.4	15.5	-2.06	13.2	12.2	1.01
Tyson Chandler	17	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	-8	0	15.1	14.2	0.90	13.2	12.7	0.52
Jon Leuer	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-19	22	13.6	14.9	-1.24	12.8	12.7	0.06
Archie Goodwin	66	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	0	-16	14.5	13.9	0.65	12.9	12.5	0.33
Mirza Teletovic	73	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.34	-26	10	-36	15.3	12.2	3.08	12.5	13.4	-0.94
PJ Tucker	73	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.14	-25	9	-34	14.4	14.1	0.31	12.5	13.2	-0.72
Devin Booker	66	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.43	-37	21	-58	15.7	12.0	3.70	12.6	13.0	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
LAL 115, PHX 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
TOR 122, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%