NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	103		Excitement	3.6 [1067]		MVP	George Hill (SAS): +12.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Comeback	1.7 [925]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -9.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	12	66%	0.13	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	13	68%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	10	81%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	9	48%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	9	35%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nathan Jawai	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	15	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	40%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	30.6	15.8	25.1	2.6	30.2	130.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.2%

MIN -6.1%

SAS +5.6%

SAS +9.3%

SAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	16.3	14.9	15.3	112.0	91.4	106.0
season	15.9	14.7		108.2	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.1		109.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.0	15.4	16.7	16.1	16.3
MIN	15.1	17.4	13.3	13.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	63	64	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.22	29	-11	40	15.7	17.4	-1.67	16.0	12.4	3.62
George Hill	67	69	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.19	28	-10	38	15.4	18.5	-3.09	16.4	10.6	5.78
Tim Duncan	49	48	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.15	25	-7	32	14.9	17.9	-2.98	16.9	12.7	4.18
Antonio McDyess	43	44	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.05	19	-1	20	14.8	17.6	-2.78	17.1	12.9	4.26
Roger Mason Jr.	38	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.03	10	8	2	16.2	16.3	-0.10	14.7	15.0	-0.23
Manu Ginobili	54	55	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	16	-14	16.3	16.2	0.15	14.5	15.4	-0.84
Cedric Jackson	18	17	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	21	-24	18.2	15.8	2.36	11.0	15.7	-4.74
Ian Mahinmi	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	16.6	16.2	0.39	11.3	15.2	-3.88
Keith Bogans	47	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	20	-22	17.9	14.6	3.27	12.4	17.3	-4.90
Matt Bonner	18	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	20	-22	18.7	15.7	2.98	13.3	15.3	-1.95
DeJuan Blair	37	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	22	-26	18.0	15.1	2.85	12.7	16.4	-3.71
Malik Hairston	18	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.12	-9	27	-36	16.4	16.2	0.15	13.3	15.3	-1.98

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	42	40	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.22	8	-26	34	12.8	16.6	-3.76	18.3	14.7	3.59
Sasha Pavlovic	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	11.3	15.2	-3.88	16.6	16.2	0.39
Damien Wilkins	47	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-20	22	12.7	17.1	-4.43	16.8	15.8	0.95
Oleksiy Pecherov	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-14	10	12.2	15.3	-3.07	16.2	16.3	-0.12
Nathan Jawai	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-17	16	13.0	15.5	-2.52	16.8	16.1	0.67
Wayne Ellington	60	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-13	8	13.9	16.7	-2.78	16.8	15.3	1.51
Ryan Gomes	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.23	-18	0	-18	16.1	12.5	3.58	15.8	17.2	-1.38
Corey Brewer	50	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-11	4	15.3	14.4	0.93	16.4	16.1	0.34
Darko Milicic	52	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-3	-12	16.5	12.9	3.61	15.8	16.9	-1.05
Jonny Flynn	51	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.25	-26	8	-34	16.6	12.8	3.76	14.7	18.3	-3.59
Al Jefferson	57	57	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.20	-27	9	-36	16.4	12.4	4.00	15.9	16.9	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 111, NOP 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
HOU 116, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
PHX 121, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%